ABOU ALI

Prospect - Tic Tacs - 14-13 (0.519)
29 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 27 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 29/100 Tier dominance: 93rd (+1.5 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Striker / Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
9
33% of games
Shot %
28%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 465.37 12565
99th
Goals 1.11 30
90th
Assists 0.56 15
58th
Saves 1.48 40
78th
Shots 4.0 108
98th
Demos 0.93 25
53rd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points465.37 #11 / 1215 #1 / 161
Goals1.11 #78 / 1215 #12 / 161
Assists0.56 #434 / 1215 #55 / 161
Saves1.48 #287 / 1215 #29 / 161
Demos0.93 #489 / 1215 #62 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (27 → ~45 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 12565 20942 20387 20248 – 20527
Goals 30 50 48 42 – 55
Assists 15 25 25 20 – 30
Saves 40 67 66 58 – 74
Shots 108 180 173 161 – 186
Demos 25 42 42 35 – 48
MVPs 9 15 14 11 – 18

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 83 /100

From 23 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 351.3
Avg boost 56.8
Boost stolen / game 464.2
% time at 0 boost 7.8%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1542.0
% supersonic 14.3%
% time high in air 4.6%
Avg distance to ball 3019.4
% time attacking third 19.4%
Demos / game 1.0
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 25.8%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~81 OVR High confidence — inferred from 117 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 29.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)567242-222 52% 408
RSC (official)85-1 83% 432
Non-RSC ranked 3v311744-52 46% 355
Non-RSC other442193-169 53% 422

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.0 1.02 0.98 – 1.12
Assists/game0.48 0.5 0.5 – 0.62
Saves/game1.56 1.56 1.38 – 1.62
Shots/game3.96 3.47 3.26 – 3.62

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
SSpekky S22Elite 1.00.461.77 1.33
Neoblastz S19Master 1.00.51.88 1.44
LEUMYY S25Premier 0.80.351.6 1.53
FlyFyre. S24Elite 1.060.621.38 1.53
bman. S22Premier 1.00.581.5 1.66
Hyper S18Rival 0.940.621.62 1.68
Qudron S14Elite 1.00.51.38 1.71
Armando S21Rival 0.90.581.47 1.72
Bushier Brow S23Rival 0.980.491.32 1.73
CKNfanboy67 S26Veteran 1.060.561.53 1.74

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.