Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 392.52 | 8243 |
|
| Goals | 1.0 | 21 |
|
| Assists | 0.86 | 18 |
|
| Saves | 1.14 | 24 |
|
| Shots | 2.76 | 58 |
|
| Demos | 0.81 | 17 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 392.52 | #153 / 1213 | #20 / 161 |
| Goals | 1.0 | #139 / 1213 | #19 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.86 | #61 / 1213 | #7 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.14 | #612 / 1213 | #77 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.81 | #581 / 1213 | #73 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (21 → ~35 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (58 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8243 | 13738 | 13496 | 13496 | 13382 – 13609 |
| Goals | 21 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 28 – 40 |
| Assists | 18 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 24 – 34 |
| Saves | 24 | 40 | 40 | 41 | 34 – 47 |
| Shots | 58 | 97 | 95 | 92 | 86 – 105 |
| Demos | 17 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 23 – 34 |
| MVPs | 6 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 7 – 12 |
From 21 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 297.1 |
| Avg boost | 50.2 |
| Boost stolen / game | 462.2 |
| % time at 0 boost | 8.5% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1429.5 |
| % supersonic | 8.2% |
| % time high in air | 4.2% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2919.3 |
| % time attacking third | 22.1% |
| Demos / game | 0.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 36.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S24 | Rival | 22 | 0.68 | 0.46 | 0.91 | 291 |
| S25 | Challenger | 36 | 0.67 | 0.53 | 1.61 | 292 |
| S26 | Prospect | 21 | 1.0 | 0.86 | 1.14 | 297 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.0 | 0.98 | 0.89 – 1.02 |
| Assists/game | 0.86 | 0.77 | 0.74 – 0.83 |
| Saves/game | 1.14 | 1.12 | 1.02 – 1.24 |
| Shots/game | 2.76 | 2.72 | 2.5 – 2.88 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alextross | S25 | Prospect | 0.93 | 0.81 | 1.21 | 0.69 |
| Dooober | S21 | Elite | 1.12 | 0.75 | 1.12 | 0.90 |
| Lord Ironskull | S13 | Master | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.0 | 0.91 |
| Gmoney | S25 | Prospect | 0.8 | 0.74 | 1.02 | 1.14 |
| Aspect oF Hope | S22 | Master | 1.09 | 0.89 | 1.29 | 1.18 |
| R4p | S26 | Contender | 1.0 | 0.62 | 1.12 | 1.23 |
| Phteven | S14 | Prospect | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.08 | 1.25 |
| cartman_-_ | S24 | Veteran | 1.02 | 0.84 | 1.08 | 1.27 |
| lone wolf | S26 | Prospect | 0.71 | 0.93 | 1.21 | 1.28 |
| Rampage | S20 | Prospect | 1.02 | 0.75 | 0.96 | 1.29 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.