Abeillonnaise

Prospect - Principales - 15-6 (0.714)
29 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 21 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 29/100 Tier dominance: 89th (+1.2 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Playmaker / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
6
29% of games
Shot %
36%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 392.52 8243
85th
Goals 1.0 21
83rd
Assists 0.86 18
95th
Saves 1.14 24
41st
Shots 2.76 58
73rd
Demos 0.81 17
45th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points392.52 #153 / 1213 #20 / 161
Goals1.0 #139 / 1213 #19 / 161
Assists0.86 #61 / 1213 #7 / 161
Saves1.14 #612 / 1213 #77 / 161
Demos0.81 #581 / 1213 #73 / 161

Season projection

Medium confidence

60% of the season is played (21 → ~35 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (58 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 8243 13738 13496 13496 13382 – 13609
Goals 21 35 34 33 28 – 40
Assists 18 30 29 28 24 – 34
Saves 24 40 40 41 34 – 47
Shots 58 97 95 92 86 – 105
Demos 17 28 29 28 23 – 34
MVPs 6 10 9 9 7 – 12

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 63 /100

From 21 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 297.1
Avg boost 50.2
Boost stolen / game 462.2
% time at 0 boost 8.5%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1429.5
% supersonic 8.2%
% time high in air 4.2%
Avg distance to ball 2919.3
% time attacking third 22.1%
Demos / game 0.8
Demos taken / game 0.9
Shooting % 36.1%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Rival22 0.680.460.91 291
S25Challenger36 0.670.531.61 292
S26Prospect21 1.00.861.14 297

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.0 0.98 0.89 – 1.02
Assists/game0.86 0.77 0.74 – 0.83
Saves/game1.14 1.12 1.02 – 1.24
Shots/game2.76 2.72 2.5 – 2.88

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Alextross S25Prospect 0.930.811.21 0.69
Dooober S21Elite 1.120.751.12 0.90
Lord Ironskull S13Master 0.830.831.0 0.91
Gmoney S25Prospect 0.80.741.02 1.14
Aspect oF Hope S22Master 1.090.891.29 1.18
R4p S26Contender 1.00.621.12 1.23
Phteven S14Prospect 0.830.831.08 1.25
cartman_-_ S24Veteran 1.020.841.08 1.27
lone wolf S26Prospect 0.710.931.21 1.28
Rampage S20Prospect 1.020.750.96 1.29

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.