Ace112506

Amateur - Surprise - 3-4 (0.429)
1 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 7 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 1/100 Tier dominance: 15th (-1.2 SD) Projects as: Amateur Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
0
0% of games
Shot %
67%

Per-game production (percentile within Amateur)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 147.43 1032
2nd
Goals 0.29 2
2nd
Assists 0.14 1
6th
Saves 0.71 5
32nd
Shots 0.43 3
2nd
Demos 0.0 0
0th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Amateur
Points147.43 #951 / 1215 #46 / 61
Goals0.29 #905 / 1215 #46 / 61
Assists0.14 #921 / 1215 #43 / 61
Saves0.71 #906 / 1215 #32 / 61
Demos0.0 #937 / 1215 #44 / 61

Season projection

Low confidence

69% of the season is played (7 → ~10 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 1032 1474 1713 1677 – 1750
Goals 2 3 4 2 – 5
Assists 1 1 2 1 – 3
Saves 5 7 7 5 – 10
Shots 3 4 7 4 – 10
Demos 0 0 1 0 – 3
MVPs 0 0 0 0 – 1

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

From 4 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Not enough replays for an Advanced OVR yet.

Boost / min 248.8
Avg boost 44.2
Boost stolen / game 231.5
% time at 0 boost 19.4%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1353.6
% supersonic 4.6%
% time high in air 0.9%
Avg distance to ball 3861.5
% time attacking third 16.2%
Demos / game 0.0
Demos taken / game 0.2
Shooting % 0.0%

Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.