Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 375.22 | 12007 |
|
| Goals | 0.78 | 25 |
|
| Assists | 0.66 | 21 |
|
| Saves | 1.38 | 44 |
|
| Shots | 2.59 | 83 |
|
| Demos | 1.5 | 48 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Elite |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 375.22 | #245 / 1215 | #44 / 179 |
| Goals | 0.78 | #421 / 1215 | #64 / 179 |
| Assists | 0.66 | #257 / 1215 | #43 / 179 |
| Saves | 1.38 | #385 / 1215 | #70 / 179 |
| Demos | 1.5 | #129 / 1215 | #21 / 179 |
56% of the season is played (32 → ~57 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (158 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 12007 | 21387 | 21284 | 21284 | 21127 – 21442 |
| Goals | 25 | 45 | 44 | 45 | 37 – 52 |
| Assists | 21 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 31 – 44 |
| Saves | 44 | 78 | 78 | 77 | 69 – 88 |
| Shots | 83 | 148 | 148 | 150 | 135 – 161 |
| Demos | 48 | 86 | 83 | 87 | 74 – 93 |
| MVPs | 5 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 – 12 |
From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 469.4 |
| Avg boost | 50.1 |
| Boost stolen / game | 766.0 |
| % time at 0 boost | 14.2% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1626.4 |
| % supersonic | 23.6% |
| % time high in air | 6.5% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2801.3 |
| % time attacking third | 24.0% |
| Demos / game | 1.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 31.6% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Master | 5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 441 |
| S21 | Elite | 18 | 0.61 | 0.67 | 1.11 | 433 |
| S22 | Elite | 4 | 1.25 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 385 |
| S23 | Elite | 29 | 0.76 | 0.69 | 0.79 | 435 |
| S24 | Elite | 55 | 0.56 | 0.62 | 1.27 | 443 |
| S25 | Elite | 56 | 1.2 | 0.48 | 1.21 | 443 |
| S26 | Elite | 28 | 0.79 | 0.71 | 1.43 | 469 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.79 | 0.82 | 0.77 – 0.88 |
| Assists/game | 0.71 | 0.67 | 0.59 – 0.75 |
| Saves/game | 1.43 | 1.33 | 1.22 – 1.47 |
| Shots/game | 2.5 | 2.79 | 2.65 – 2.94 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jolt | S24 | Elite | 0.88 | 0.75 | 1.57 | 1.13 |
| spuf. | S22 | Master | 0.98 | 0.68 | 1.49 | 1.16 |
| pxiruu | S25 | Elite | 0.77 | 0.72 | 1.06 | 1.20 |
| spuf. | S24 | Master | 0.79 | 0.58 | 1.44 | 1.21 |
| Secretariat | S26 | Elite | 0.77 | 0.65 | 1.31 | 1.24 |
| comet | S22 | Premier | 0.76 | 0.69 | 1.22 | 1.37 |
| Dxso(?) | S22 | Veteran | 0.76 | 0.61 | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Colinn | S23 | Elite | 0.79 | 0.64 | 1.26 | 1.51 |
| AhmedSa- | S24 | Elite | 0.56 | 0.62 | 1.27 | 1.52 |
| Reprise | S13 | Elite | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.38 | 1.57 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.