Andrew

Rival - Hot Wings - 16-7 (0.696)
52 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 23 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 52/100 Tier dominance: 53rd (+0.1 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
13% of games
Shot %
35%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 364.7 8388
70th
Goals 0.87 20
69th
Assists 0.65 15
73rd
Saves 1.35 31
50th
Shots 2.48 57
46th
Demos 1.48 34
86th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points364.7 #305 / 1215 #40 / 164
Goals0.87 #295 / 1215 #42 / 164
Assists0.65 #269 / 1215 #37 / 164
Saves1.35 #420 / 1215 #67 / 164
Demos1.48 #148 / 1215 #19 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (23 → ~41 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 8388 14953 14843 14714 – 14973
Goals 20 36 35 29 – 41
Assists 15 27 26 21 – 32
Saves 31 55 55 47 – 63
Shots 57 102 102 91 – 112
Demos 34 61 59 51 – 67
MVPs 3 5 5 3 – 8

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 72 /100

From 19 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 374.4
Avg boost 41.5
Boost stolen / game 408.4
% time at 0 boost 16.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1444.8
% supersonic 11.0%
% time high in air 4.8%
Avg distance to ball 2840.5
% time attacking third 18.5%
Demos / game 1.6
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 35.1%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~100 OVR Low confidence — inferred from 38 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 52.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)426162-185 47% 358
RSC (official)42-2 50% 352
Non-RSC ranked 3v3389-21 30% 388
Non-RSC other384151-162 48% 355

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.95 0.84 0.8 – 0.92
Assists/game0.68 0.66 0.61 – 0.72
Saves/game1.37 1.33 1.21 – 1.45
Shots/game2.58 2.63 2.4 – 2.82

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Arbartenn S21Veteran 1.00.621.38 0.94
Crucified S25Rival 0.810.611.45 1.05
M1ke1sMy1ke S24Veteran 0.760.631.52 1.20
Jay_Kay99 S24Veteran 0.770.771.4 1.20
tepochtli_13 S23Prospect 1.030.721.03 1.21
WamBamTYMan- S24Challenger 0.830.691.27 1.23
Shame S23Challenger 1.00.561.4 1.27
13o0k S23Rival 0.870.671.58 1.29
doctorprofessor_ S25Veteran 0.860.681.14 1.32
SRSExKAOS S26Challenger 0.820.71.37 1.37

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.