Animosity

Prospect - Merchants - 17-11 (0.607)
29 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 28 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 29/100 Tier dominance: 91st (+1.5 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
12
43% of games
Shot %
36%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 369.54 10347
75th
Goals 1.07 30
89th
Assists 0.5 14
41st
Saves 1.14 32
43rd
Shots 3.0 84
85th
Demos 0.57 16
23rd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points369.54 #281 / 1215 #33 / 161
Goals1.07 #106 / 1215 #14 / 161
Assists0.5 #516 / 1215 #71 / 161
Saves1.14 #637 / 1215 #75 / 161
Demos0.57 #770 / 1215 #102 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (28 → ~47 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 10347 17368 17204 17073 – 17335
Goals 30 50 49 42 – 56
Assists 14 24 24 19 – 29
Saves 32 54 54 47 – 61
Shots 84 141 138 127 – 150
Demos 16 27 28 23 – 34
MVPs 12 20 19 15 – 23

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 70 /100

From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 384.1
Avg boost 46.9
Boost stolen / game 459.5
% time at 0 boost 10.8%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1538.0
% supersonic 11.2%
% time high in air 3.8%
Avg distance to ball 2795.1
% time attacking third 21.4%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 37.6%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~61 OVR High confidence — inferred from 433 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 29.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)2468899-1060 46% 373
RSC (official)6924-33 42% 384
Non-RSC ranked 3v3433157-186 46% 322
Non-RSC other1966718-841 46% 384

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.21 1.17 1.08 – 1.25
Assists/game0.58 0.58 0.55 – 0.64
Saves/game1.04 1.14 1.04 – 1.25
Shots/game3.12 3.06 3.0 – 3.22

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Rampage S23Challenger 1.10.561.17 0.91
Sauce_Boss_36 S22Elite 1.250.621.12 0.91
dmxtt. S26Elite 1.250.561.16 0.95
AEB311 S21Elite 1.40.50.9 1.05
Sauce_Boss_36 S21Veteran 1.00.51.21 1.09
zerajule S24Challenger 1.060.511.02 1.10
Prezmo_ S20Challenger 1.210.470.95 1.11
Alpha Dingo S25Challenger 1.080.561.04 1.14
Mathews175 S20Veteran 1.420.51.08 1.16
Absolutely TOR S24Veteran 1.140.561.27 1.16

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.