Astro-HxIIFire

Elite - Krakens - 14-5 (0.737)
83 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 19 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 83/100 Tier dominance: 79th (+0.7 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
5
26% of games
Shot %
30%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 362.37 6885
53rd
Goals 0.79 15
51st
Assists 0.79 15
87th
Saves 1.42 27
52nd
Shots 2.63 50
54th
Demos 1.32 25
73rd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points362.37 #325 / 1215 #60 / 179
Goals0.79 #413 / 1215 #63 / 179
Assists0.79 #94 / 1215 #17 / 179
Saves1.42 #338 / 1215 #62 / 179
Demos1.32 #213 / 1215 #34 / 179

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (19 → ~34 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 6885 12321 12286 12168 – 12403
Goals 15 27 27 21 – 32
Assists 15 27 26 21 – 31
Saves 27 48 48 41 – 56
Shots 50 89 89 79 – 99
Demos 25 45 44 37 – 50
MVPs 5 9 8 5 – 11

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 82 /100

From 16 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 450.5
Avg boost 46.8
Boost stolen / game 444.9
% time at 0 boost 17.2%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1580.6
% supersonic 17.7%
% time high in air 5.6%
Avg distance to ball 2973.5
% time attacking third 20.0%
Demos / game 1.5
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 34.1%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~80 OVR High confidence — inferred from 374 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 83.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)2162878-855 51% 408
RSC (official)199-7 56% 399
Non-RSC ranked 3v3374137-156 47% 354
Non-RSC other1769732-692 51% 420

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.94 0.93 0.82 – 0.98
Assists/game0.75 0.73 0.66 – 0.77
Saves/game1.31 1.38 1.25 – 1.48
Shots/game2.75 2.81 2.64 – 2.9

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Nahzey S24Elite 0.970.661.42 0.67
Trvyn S25Veteran 0.810.711.36 0.80
Havox.RL S24Rival 0.950.751.52 1.01
Noriko S24Premier 0.860.811.52 1.09
LMNS S24Premier 1.060.811.38 1.10
Chazie. S24Elite 0.820.751.38 1.13
Solar S18Rival 0.880.621.38 1.17
Hypernova S24Veteran 0.910.771.23 1.17
Astro-HxIIFire S23Veteran 1.070.641.43 1.20
Drizd. S23Challenger 0.780.561.34 1.23

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.