BeardedFrodo1

Contender - Jesters - 4-10 (0.286)
6 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 14 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 6/100 Tier dominance: 14th (-1.0 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Anchor / Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
14% of games
Shot %
24%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 300.93 4213
41st
Goals 0.36 5
6th
Assists 0.71 10
89th
Saves 1.71 24
95th
Shots 1.5 21
3rd
Demos 0.57 8
33rd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points300.93 #748 / 1215 #66 / 134
Goals0.36 #887 / 1215 #104 / 134
Assists0.71 #172 / 1215 #12 / 134
Saves1.71 #105 / 1215 #6 / 134
Demos0.57 #770 / 1215 #74 / 134

Season projection

Low confidence

64% of the season is played (14 → ~22 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (123 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 4213 6620 6667 6667 6593 – 6742
Goals 5 8 9 9 6 – 12
Assists 10 16 15 14 12 – 18
Saves 24 38 36 35 31 – 41
Shots 21 33 35 35 30 – 41
Demos 8 13 13 13 10 – 17
MVPs 2 3 3 3 2 – 5

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 1 /100

From 10 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 306.3
Avg boost 55.6
Boost stolen / game 322.2
% time at 0 boost 7.4%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1434.0
% supersonic 11.4%
% time high in air 2.5%
Avg distance to ball 3432.0
% time attacking third 15.9%
Demos / game 0.6
Demos taken / game 1.3
Shooting % 18.0%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S23Amateur56 0.710.361.14 298
S24Amateur56 0.790.410.95 301
S25Contender11 0.180.181.18 314
S26Contender10 0.30.51.8 306

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.3 0.4 0.33 – 0.46
Assists/game0.5 0.42 0.37 – 0.5
Saves/game1.8 1.63 1.53 – 1.78
Shots/game1.4 1.69 1.56 – 1.77

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
iProfessorEx S21Veteran 0.190.51.62 1.30
Shraggaholic S18Contender 0.330.421.92 1.45
Visilgris S17Challenger 0.250.381.62 1.47
Loko Deputy S14Challenger 0.620.51.75 1.50
Ice Phoenix S21Veteran 0.50.621.75 1.56
iProfessorEx S20Elite 0.420.331.92 1.56
T Sant S25Rival 0.460.411.73 1.58
Chronicle S24Challenger 0.480.371.78 1.59
cJax S22Veteran 0.420.491.63 1.59
Swanny2.0 S24Rival 0.520.481.88 1.61

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.