Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 300.93 | 4213 |
|
| Goals | 0.36 | 5 |
|
| Assists | 0.71 | 10 |
|
| Saves | 1.71 | 24 |
|
| Shots | 1.5 | 21 |
|
| Demos | 0.57 | 8 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 300.93 | #748 / 1215 | #66 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.36 | #887 / 1215 | #104 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.71 | #172 / 1215 | #12 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.71 | #105 / 1215 | #6 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.57 | #770 / 1215 | #74 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (14 → ~22 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (123 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 4213 | 6620 | 6667 | 6667 | 6593 – 6742 |
| Goals | 5 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 6 – 12 |
| Assists | 10 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 12 – 18 |
| Saves | 24 | 38 | 36 | 35 | 31 – 41 |
| Shots | 21 | 33 | 35 | 35 | 30 – 41 |
| Demos | 8 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 10 – 17 |
| MVPs | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 – 5 |
From 10 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 306.3 |
| Avg boost | 55.6 |
| Boost stolen / game | 322.2 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.4% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1434.0 |
| % supersonic | 11.4% |
| % time high in air | 2.5% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3432.0 |
| % time attacking third | 15.9% |
| Demos / game | 0.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.3 |
| Shooting % | 18.0% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S23 | Amateur | 56 | 0.71 | 0.36 | 1.14 | 298 |
| S24 | Amateur | 56 | 0.79 | 0.41 | 0.95 | 301 |
| S25 | Contender | 11 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 1.18 | 314 |
| S26 | Contender | 10 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 306 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.33 – 0.46 |
| Assists/game | 0.5 | 0.42 | 0.37 – 0.5 |
| Saves/game | 1.8 | 1.63 | 1.53 – 1.78 |
| Shots/game | 1.4 | 1.69 | 1.56 – 1.77 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iProfessorEx | S21 | Veteran | 0.19 | 0.5 | 1.62 | 1.30 |
| Shraggaholic | S18 | Contender | 0.33 | 0.42 | 1.92 | 1.45 |
| Visilgris | S17 | Challenger | 0.25 | 0.38 | 1.62 | 1.47 |
| Loko Deputy | S14 | Challenger | 0.62 | 0.5 | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Ice Phoenix | S21 | Veteran | 0.5 | 0.62 | 1.75 | 1.56 |
| iProfessorEx | S20 | Elite | 0.42 | 0.33 | 1.92 | 1.56 |
| T Sant | S25 | Rival | 0.46 | 0.41 | 1.73 | 1.58 |
| Chronicle | S24 | Challenger | 0.48 | 0.37 | 1.78 | 1.59 |
| cJax | S22 | Veteran | 0.42 | 0.49 | 1.63 | 1.59 |
| Swanny2.0 | S24 | Rival | 0.52 | 0.48 | 1.88 | 1.61 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.