BlitzzyG

Rival - Quads - 18-8 (0.692)
61 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 26 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 61/100 Tier dominance: 100th (+2.8 SD) Projects as: Veteran ↑ Overskilled for Rival Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
12
46% of games
Shot %
45%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 446.85 11618
98th
Goals 1.58 41
99th
Assists 0.54 14
47th
Saves 0.96 25
13th
Shots 3.54 92
96th
Demos 1.81 47
92nd

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points446.85 #20 / 1213 #2 / 164
Goals1.58 #6 / 1213 #1 / 164
Assists0.54 #459 / 1213 #68 / 164
Saves0.96 #799 / 1213 #116 / 164
Demos1.81 #75 / 1213 #11 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (26 → ~46 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (84 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11618 20555 20068 20068 19920 – 20217
Goals 41 73 69 66 60 – 77
Assists 14 25 25 25 19 – 30
Saves 25 44 46 46 39 – 53
Shots 92 163 158 156 145 – 171
Demos 47 83 80 79 70 – 89
MVPs 12 21 20 20 15 – 24

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 98 /100

From 26 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 368.4
Avg boost 52.6
Boost stolen / game 456.1
% time at 0 boost 8.7%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1509.1
% supersonic 15.6%
% time high in air 5.0%
Avg distance to ball 3042.1
% time attacking third 20.8%
Demos / game 1.8
Demos taken / game 0.7
Shooting % 43.6%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S21Veteran4 1.750.751.75 341
S22Veteran44 0.610.611.09 356
S23Veteran40 0.60.621.42 354
S26Rival26 1.580.540.96 368

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.58 1.33 1.2 – 1.44
Assists/game0.54 0.56 0.5 – 0.67
Saves/game0.96 1.1 1.0 – 1.19
Shots/game3.54 3.3 3.19 – 3.5

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
OmniMurders S20Challenger 1.580.51.33 1.55
Froz3nSlack5r S19Contender 1.310.621.12 1.68
AveX InceptionZ S21Challenger 1.270.40.93 1.82
GreenSleeves S13Premier 1.380.50.88 1.92
Theonlycrow2929 S20Veteran 1.50.581.08 1.94
Yeetn-Skeet S21Elite 1.360.51.0 2.02
Tempest S20Elite 1.50.381.12 2.02
Yeetn-Skeet S18Veteran 1.440.441.31 2.11
Rev S21Elite 1.380.751.12 2.18
sinoda_20 S21Rival 1.170.50.92 2.19

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.