Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 314.6 | 9438 |
|
| Goals | 0.73 | 22 |
|
| Assists | 0.67 | 20 |
|
| Saves | 1.33 | 40 |
|
| Shots | 2.23 | 67 |
|
| Demos | 1.07 | 32 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 314.6 | #678 / 1215 | #83 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.73 | #509 / 1215 | #69 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.67 | #229 / 1215 | #28 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.33 | #430 / 1215 | #46 / 161 |
| Demos | 1.07 | #351 / 1215 | #41 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (30 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (234 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9438 | 15730 | 15797 | 15797 | 15671 – 15924 |
| Goals | 22 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 31 – 43 |
| Assists | 20 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 27 – 38 |
| Saves | 40 | 67 | 66 | 64 | 58 – 74 |
| Shots | 67 | 112 | 112 | 112 | 102 – 123 |
| Demos | 32 | 53 | 53 | 55 | 46 – 60 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 – 8 |
From 26 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 398.7 |
| Avg boost | 49.1 |
| Boost stolen / game | 500.7 |
| % time at 0 boost | 8.4% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1440.0 |
| % supersonic | 10.3% |
| % time high in air | 3.2% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3081.6 |
| % time attacking third | 17.6% |
| Demos / game | 1.1 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 27.5% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Contender | 39 | 0.54 | 0.44 | 1.0 | 419 |
| S22 | Contender | 49 | 1.04 | 0.82 | 0.9 | 438 |
| S23 | Prospect | 39 | 0.72 | 0.31 | 0.77 | 455 |
| S24 | Prospect | 56 | 1.04 | 0.57 | 1.04 | 419 |
| S25 | Prospect | 51 | 0.76 | 0.63 | 0.88 | 391 |
| S26 | Prospect | 26 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 1.46 | 399 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.69 | 0.67 | 0.62 – 0.76 |
| Assists/game | 0.69 | 0.62 | 0.58 – 0.67 |
| Saves/game | 1.46 | 1.44 | 1.36 – 1.52 |
| Shots/game | 2.12 | 2.24 | 2.13 – 2.33 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QuaviusProd | S26 | Contender | 0.56 | 0.8 | 1.48 | 0.83 |
| M1ke1sMy1ke | S24 | Veteran | 0.76 | 0.63 | 1.52 | 0.91 |
| SGE Nemesis | S21 | Elite | 0.62 | 0.62 | 1.44 | 1.04 |
| YadiCraft | S25 | Challenger | 0.67 | 0.65 | 1.46 | 1.09 |
| jackk | S14 | Veteran | 0.75 | 0.62 | 1.25 | 1.10 |
| KiLo | S24 | Elite | 0.84 | 0.84 | 1.36 | 1.12 |
| StruttRL | S20 | Challenger | 0.53 | 0.68 | 1.42 | 1.15 |
| Leoniis. | S17 | Premier | 0.58 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.16 |
| GrandPlat | S25 | Master | 0.68 | 0.76 | 1.68 | 1.20 |
| 22 | S25 | Rival | 0.6 | 0.58 | 1.19 | 1.21 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.