Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 267.0 | 2403 |
|
| Goals | 0.44 | 4 |
|
| Assists | 0.44 | 4 |
|
| Saves | 1.22 | 11 |
|
| Shots | 1.56 | 14 |
|
| Demos | 0.44 | 4 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 267.0 | #865 / 1215 | #114 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.44 | #847 / 1215 | #117 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.44 | #648 / 1215 | #86 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.22 | #555 / 1215 | #63 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.44 | #854 / 1215 | #117 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (9 → ~15 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (155 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 2403 | 4005 | 4185 | 4185 | 4122 – 4247 |
| Goals | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 – 10 |
| Assists | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 9 |
| Saves | 11 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 14 – 22 |
| Shots | 14 | 23 | 26 | 25 | 21 – 31 |
| Demos | 4 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 5 – 11 |
| MVPs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 – 1 |
From 9 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Not enough replays for an Advanced OVR yet.
| Boost / min | 256.0 |
| Avg boost | 53.2 |
| Boost stolen / game | 296.8 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.1% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1462.5 |
| % supersonic | 5.9% |
| % time high in air | 1.4% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3141.4 |
| % time attacking third | 19.0% |
| Demos / game | 0.4 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.8 |
| Shooting % | 27.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Challenger | 4 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 283 |
| S22 | Challenger | 14 | 0.43 | 1.0 | 1.36 | 255 |
| S23 | Challenger | 53 | 0.66 | 0.64 | 1.15 | 235 |
| S24 | Challenger | 37 | 0.7 | 0.51 | 1.32 | 266 |
| S25 | Prospect | 51 | 0.61 | 0.35 | 1.24 | 255 |
| S26 | Prospect | 9 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 1.22 | 256 |
| Source | Games | Record | Win % | Score/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifetime (all) | 3209 | 1161-1389 | 46% | 313 |
| RSC (official) | 22 | 9-8 | 53% | 297 |
| Non-RSC ranked 3v3 | 227 | 71-87 | 45% | 281 |
| Non-RSC other | 2960 | 1081-1294 | 46% | 316 |
From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.44 | 0.53 | 0.45 – 0.61 |
| Assists/game | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.38 – 0.55 |
| Saves/game | 1.22 | 1.12 | 1.03 – 1.2 |
| Shots/game | 1.56 | 1.8 | 1.61 – 1.89 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BulletNote | S25 | Prospect | 0.61 | 0.35 | 1.24 | 1.20 |
| Ty (Arcus) | S17 | Veteran | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.20 |
| Bird Queen <3 | S25 | Veteran | 0.32 | 0.6 | 1.48 | 1.32 |
| w0odhou5e | S13 | Amateur | 0.55 | 0.48 | 1.03 | 1.34 |
| DefNotMongo. | S24 | Prospect | 0.71 | 0.38 | 1.14 | 1.47 |
| perk_at_play | S14 | Prospect | 0.5 | 0.25 | 1.12 | 1.50 |
| chrisofspades | S24 | Amateur | 0.53 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.50 |
| DefNotMongo. | S23 | Prospect | 0.67 | 0.5 | 1.04 | 1.52 |
| BulletNote | S24 | Challenger | 0.7 | 0.51 | 1.32 | 1.53 |
| CosmicFlames. | S23 | Veteran | 0.25 | 0.38 | 1.12 | 1.55 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.