Celiscy

Rival - Demo Chasers - 5-13 (0.278)
👤 Career - also played as jdog308
48 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 18 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 48/100 Tier dominance: 24th (-0.8 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
17% of games
Shot %
24%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 315.94 5687
27th
Goals 0.5 9
16th
Assists 0.33 6
13th
Saves 1.61 29
81st
Shots 2.06 37
23rd
Demos 0.89 16
40th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points315.94 #671 / 1215 #98 / 164
Goals0.5 #791 / 1215 #111 / 164
Assists0.33 #813 / 1215 #113 / 164
Saves1.61 #166 / 1215 #25 / 164
Demos0.89 #522 / 1215 #79 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (18 → ~32 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (197 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 5687 10110 10219 10219 10112 – 10326
Goals 9 16 17 19 13 – 22
Assists 6 11 11 12 8 – 15
Saves 29 52 50 50 43 – 58
Shots 37 66 68 69 59 – 76
Demos 16 28 29 30 23 – 35
MVPs 3 5 5 5 3 – 8

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 11 /100

From 14 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 368.3
Avg boost 54.8
Boost stolen / game 571.9
% time at 0 boost 9.6%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1550.1
% supersonic 13.2%
% time high in air 5.0%
Avg distance to ball 3021.2
% time attacking third 21.0%
Demos / game 0.9
Demos taken / game 0.9
Shooting % 17.0%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S21Challenger8 1.00.881.0 321
S22Rival23 0.610.651.22 328
S23Rival51 0.980.741.2 350
S24Rival60 1.020.351.28 347
S25Rival55 1.060.551.4 362
S26Rival14 0.360.291.21 368

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.36 0.5 0.43 – 0.55
Assists/game0.29 0.32 0.29 – 0.38
Saves/game1.21 1.18 1.08 – 1.3
Shots/game2.14 2.17 2.05 – 2.25

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Treefrog S21Challenger 0.30.31.3 0.90
Nukem_IV S24Rival 0.550.271.18 0.91
holypope5 S14Veteran 0.50.31.3 1.09
GreenSleeves S25Premier 0.50.31.2 1.10
GoodDay S17Elite 0.470.331.07 1.11
GameGang S24Elite 0.510.341.07 1.12
vAirwick S19Challenger 0.440.281.06 1.13
peach S22Premier 0.40.341.34 1.27
Croutqn S17Elite 0.420.331.08 1.32
Legend S23Elite 0.380.381.54 1.32

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.