Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 315.94 | 5687 |
|
| Goals | 0.5 | 9 |
|
| Assists | 0.33 | 6 |
|
| Saves | 1.61 | 29 |
|
| Shots | 2.06 | 37 |
|
| Demos | 0.89 | 16 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 315.94 | #671 / 1215 | #98 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.5 | #791 / 1215 | #111 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.33 | #813 / 1215 | #113 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.61 | #166 / 1215 | #25 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.89 | #522 / 1215 | #79 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (18 → ~32 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (197 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 5687 | 10110 | 10219 | 10219 | 10112 – 10326 |
| Goals | 9 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 13 – 22 |
| Assists | 6 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 8 – 15 |
| Saves | 29 | 52 | 50 | 50 | 43 – 58 |
| Shots | 37 | 66 | 68 | 69 | 59 – 76 |
| Demos | 16 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 23 – 35 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 – 8 |
From 14 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 368.3 |
| Avg boost | 54.8 |
| Boost stolen / game | 571.9 |
| % time at 0 boost | 9.6% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1550.1 |
| % supersonic | 13.2% |
| % time high in air | 5.0% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3021.2 |
| % time attacking third | 21.0% |
| Demos / game | 0.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 17.0% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Challenger | 8 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.0 | 321 |
| S22 | Rival | 23 | 0.61 | 0.65 | 1.22 | 328 |
| S23 | Rival | 51 | 0.98 | 0.74 | 1.2 | 350 |
| S24 | Rival | 60 | 1.02 | 0.35 | 1.28 | 347 |
| S25 | Rival | 55 | 1.06 | 0.55 | 1.4 | 362 |
| S26 | Rival | 14 | 0.36 | 0.29 | 1.21 | 368 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.36 | 0.5 | 0.43 – 0.55 |
| Assists/game | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.29 – 0.38 |
| Saves/game | 1.21 | 1.18 | 1.08 – 1.3 |
| Shots/game | 2.14 | 2.17 | 2.05 – 2.25 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treefrog | S21 | Challenger | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.90 |
| Nukem_IV | S24 | Rival | 0.55 | 0.27 | 1.18 | 0.91 |
| holypope5 | S14 | Veteran | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.09 |
| GreenSleeves | S25 | Premier | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.10 |
| GoodDay | S17 | Elite | 0.47 | 0.33 | 1.07 | 1.11 |
| GameGang | S24 | Elite | 0.51 | 0.34 | 1.07 | 1.12 |
| vAirwick | S19 | Challenger | 0.44 | 0.28 | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| peach | S22 | Premier | 0.4 | 0.34 | 1.34 | 1.27 |
| Croutqn | S17 | Elite | 0.42 | 0.33 | 1.08 | 1.32 |
| Legend | S23 | Elite | 0.38 | 0.38 | 1.54 | 1.32 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.