Chiharu6503

Rival - Genasi - 17-11 (0.607)
51 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 28 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 51/100 Tier dominance: 46th (-0.1 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Anchor / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
5
18% of games
Shot %
33%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 392.0 10976
85th
Goals 0.89 25
73rd
Assists 0.46 13
33rd
Saves 1.57 44
80th
Shots 2.68 75
62nd
Demos 1.18 33
67th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points392.0 #149 / 1215 #20 / 164
Goals0.89 #256 / 1215 #35 / 164
Assists0.46 #624 / 1215 #90 / 164
Saves1.57 #186 / 1215 #27 / 164
Demos1.18 #275 / 1215 #43 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (28 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 10976 19600 19352 19203 – 19501
Goals 25 45 44 37 – 51
Assists 13 23 24 18 – 29
Saves 44 79 77 68 – 87
Shots 75 134 133 121 – 145
Demos 33 59 58 50 – 66
MVPs 5 9 9 6 – 12

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 35 /100

From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 359.2
Avg boost 48.9
Boost stolen / game 336.0
% time at 0 boost 12.0%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1484.5
% supersonic 13.8%
% time high in air 3.9%
Avg distance to ball 2863.3
% time attacking third 18.7%
Demos / game 1.2
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 25.5%

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.67 0.67 0.63 – 0.73
Assists/game0.42 0.42 0.39 – 0.5
Saves/game1.5 1.48 1.38 – 1.53
Shots/game2.54 2.38 2.29 – 2.52

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Kaisaroh S25Master 0.790.51.5 0.79
derrrrrrrrp S22Veteran 0.780.381.49 0.81
Squatch70 S22Challenger 0.560.481.63 0.93
Rapidz (Goofy and Silly) S25Master 0.580.421.38 0.95
Super S23Master 0.710.531.58 0.99
Cognitixn S25Veteran 0.610.391.48 1.00
Rmuru- S19Challenger 0.650.471.53 1.04
Its_Lost S23Challenger 0.750.381.38 1.07
Cognitixn S24Veteran 0.710.341.42 1.08
Tootie S25Rival 0.740.411.38 1.10

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.