Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 342.0 | 8208 |
|
| Goals | 0.88 | 21 |
|
| Assists | 0.29 | 7 |
|
| Saves | 1.42 | 34 |
|
| Shots | 2.67 | 64 |
|
| Demos | 1.33 | 32 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 342.0 | #480 / 1215 | #57 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.88 | #275 / 1215 | #40 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.29 | #859 / 1215 | #121 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.42 | #341 / 1215 | #35 / 161 |
| Demos | 1.33 | #203 / 1215 | #19 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (24 → ~40 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (54 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8208 | 13680 | 13634 | 13634 | 13519 – 13750 |
| Goals | 21 | 35 | 34 | 35 | 29 – 40 |
| Assists | 7 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 9 – 16 |
| Saves | 34 | 57 | 56 | 56 | 49 – 63 |
| Shots | 64 | 107 | 106 | 106 | 95 – 116 |
| Demos | 32 | 53 | 52 | 54 | 45 – 59 |
| MVPs | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 7 – 13 |
From 21 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 373.4 |
| Avg boost | 50.1 |
| Boost stolen / game | 628.0 |
| % time at 0 boost | 13.1% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1523.9 |
| % supersonic | 13.4% |
| % time high in air | 4.3% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2842.7 |
| % time attacking third | 24.8% |
| Demos / game | 1.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.6 |
| Shooting % | 34.3% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Challenger | 4 | 1.25 | 0.0 | 0.75 | 437 |
| S22 | Challenger | 22 | 0.82 | 0.77 | 1.27 | 363 |
| S23 | Challenger | 24 | 0.88 | 0.46 | 1.12 | 363 |
| S25 | Challenger | 8 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 2.38 | 348 |
| S26 | Prospect | 21 | 0.9 | 0.29 | 1.43 | 373 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.91 | 0.9 | 0.82 – 0.93 |
| Assists/game | 0.29 | 0.42 | 0.36 – 0.48 |
| Saves/game | 1.43 | 1.33 | 1.27 – 1.55 |
| Shots/game | 2.71 | 2.8 | 2.73 – 2.9 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalten | S25 | Elite | 0.9 | 0.42 | 1.55 | 0.99 |
| Oksano.- | S19 | Challenger | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.20 |
| Its Jo Time | S18 | Prospect | 0.88 | 0.38 | 1.62 | 1.21 |
| FuDaah | S22 | Veteran | 0.74 | 0.45 | 1.33 | 1.35 |
| Ocular8 | S25 | Veteran | 0.92 | 0.42 | 1.5 | 1.40 |
| Celiscy | S24 | Rival | 1.02 | 0.35 | 1.28 | 1.41 |
| janixity. | S23 | Veteran | 0.74 | 0.49 | 1.27 | 1.41 |
| Llamaboy101 | S25 | Challenger | 0.92 | 0.52 | 1.31 | 1.45 |
| Gaw1f3d | S20 | Rival | 0.9 | 0.55 | 1.55 | 1.48 |
| Minjaaa | S24 | Challenger | 0.93 | 0.35 | 1.32 | 1.49 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.