ChronoElevated

Prospect - Spastics - 12-12 (0.500)
28 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 24 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 28/100 Tier dominance: 83rd (+0.8 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
6
25% of games
Shot %
33%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 342.0 8208
57th
Goals 0.88 21
69th
Assists 0.29 7
9th
Saves 1.42 34
74th
Shots 2.67 64
66th
Demos 1.33 32
84th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points342.0 #480 / 1215 #57 / 161
Goals0.88 #275 / 1215 #40 / 161
Assists0.29 #859 / 1215 #121 / 161
Saves1.42 #341 / 1215 #35 / 161
Demos1.33 #203 / 1215 #19 / 161

Season projection

Medium confidence

60% of the season is played (24 → ~40 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (54 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 8208 13680 13634 13634 13519 – 13750
Goals 21 35 34 35 29 – 40
Assists 7 12 13 13 9 – 16
Saves 34 57 56 56 49 – 63
Shots 64 107 106 106 95 – 116
Demos 32 53 52 54 45 – 59
MVPs 6 10 10 10 7 – 13

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 83 /100

From 21 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 373.4
Avg boost 50.1
Boost stolen / game 628.0
% time at 0 boost 13.1%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1523.9
% supersonic 13.4%
% time high in air 4.3%
Avg distance to ball 2842.7
% time attacking third 24.8%
Demos / game 1.5
Demos taken / game 0.6
Shooting % 34.3%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S21Challenger4 1.250.00.75 437
S22Challenger22 0.820.771.27 363
S23Challenger24 0.880.461.12 363
S25Challenger8 1.00.752.38 348
S26Prospect21 0.90.291.43 373

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.91 0.9 0.82 – 0.93
Assists/game0.29 0.42 0.36 – 0.48
Saves/game1.43 1.33 1.27 – 1.55
Shots/game2.71 2.8 2.73 – 2.9

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
kalten S25Elite 0.90.421.55 0.99
Oksano.- S19Challenger 0.90.21.2 1.20
Its Jo Time S18Prospect 0.880.381.62 1.21
FuDaah S22Veteran 0.740.451.33 1.35
Ocular8 S25Veteran 0.920.421.5 1.40
Celiscy S24Rival 1.020.351.28 1.41
janixity. S23Veteran 0.740.491.27 1.41
Llamaboy101 S25Challenger 0.920.521.31 1.45
Gaw1f3d S20Rival 0.90.551.55 1.48
Minjaaa S24Challenger 0.930.351.32 1.49

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.