Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 349.82 | 7696 |
|
| Goals | 0.73 | 16 |
|
| Assists | 0.77 | 17 |
|
| Saves | 1.45 | 32 |
|
| Shots | 2.91 | 64 |
|
| Demos | 0.91 | 20 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 349.82 | #424 / 1215 | #62 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.73 | #513 / 1215 | #71 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.77 | #107 / 1215 | #14 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.45 | #313 / 1215 | #47 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.91 | #509 / 1215 | #77 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (22 → ~39 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (167 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 7696 | 13643 | 13604 | 13604 | 13481 – 13727 |
| Goals | 16 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 23 – 34 |
| Assists | 17 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 23 – 35 |
| Saves | 32 | 57 | 56 | 57 | 48 – 64 |
| Shots | 64 | 113 | 112 | 112 | 101 – 123 |
| Demos | 20 | 35 | 36 | 35 | 30 – 42 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 – 8 |
From 18 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 322.6 |
| Avg boost | 53.9 |
| Boost stolen / game | 492.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 8.9% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1494.1 |
| % supersonic | 10.7% |
| % time high in air | 4.3% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3076.2 |
| % time attacking third | 20.9% |
| Demos / game | 0.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.3 |
| Shooting % | 26.7% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Rival | 10 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 342 |
| S23 | Rival | 40 | 1.05 | 0.57 | 1.4 | 335 |
| S24 | Rival | 62 | 0.79 | 0.55 | 1.31 | 323 |
| S25 | Rival | 55 | 0.73 | 0.51 | 1.82 | 310 |
| S26 | Rival | 18 | 0.83 | 0.72 | 1.56 | 323 |
| Source | Games | Record | Win % | Score/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifetime (all) | 1473 | 596-636 | 48% | 374 |
| RSC (official) | 8 | 3-2 | 60% | 467 |
| Non-RSC ranked 3v3 | 107 | 39-38 | 51% | 328 |
| Non-RSC other | 1358 | 554-596 | 48% | 378 |
From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.8 – 0.89 |
| Assists/game | 0.72 | 0.69 | 0.64 – 0.75 |
| Saves/game | 1.56 | 1.47 | 1.38 – 1.54 |
| Shots/game | 3.0 | 2.84 | 2.72 – 2.92 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| avatarmanz | S19 | Master | 0.85 | 0.85 | 1.54 | 0.81 |
| 1ssh1 | S19 | Veteran | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 0.92 |
| RSC Raven | S23 | Elite | 0.91 | 0.69 | 1.38 | 1.01 |
| The CZD | S25 | Master | 0.89 | 0.61 | 1.56 | 1.03 |
| noot | S25 | Rival | 0.87 | 0.58 | 1.53 | 1.06 |
| Doodle! | S24 | Elite | 0.73 | 0.64 | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| ShoddyWolfman | S21 | Rival | 0.81 | 0.69 | 1.62 | 1.07 |
| feb | S19 | Rival | 0.83 | 0.75 | 1.58 | 1.08 |
| CF0UR_ | S26 | Rival | 0.94 | 0.68 | 1.42 | 1.10 |
| WP_Merciless | S23 | Veteran | 0.82 | 0.75 | 1.53 | 1.10 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.