Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 283.71 | 9646 |
|
| Goals | 0.65 | 22 |
|
| Assists | 0.44 | 15 |
|
| Saves | 0.94 | 32 |
|
| Shots | 2.06 | 70 |
|
| Demos | 0.82 | 28 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 283.71 | #819 / 1215 | #84 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.65 | #635 / 1215 | #65 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.44 | #660 / 1215 | #65 / 134 |
| Saves | 0.94 | #817 / 1215 | #86 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.82 | #580 / 1215 | #49 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (34 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (158 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9646 | 15036 | 15157 | 15157 | 15042 – 15272 |
| Goals | 22 | 34 | 35 | 34 | 29 – 40 |
| Assists | 15 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 19 – 28 |
| Saves | 32 | 50 | 51 | 49 | 44 – 57 |
| Shots | 70 | 109 | 110 | 109 | 100 – 120 |
| Demos | 28 | 44 | 44 | 45 | 38 – 50 |
| MVPs | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 – 5 |
From 30 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 353.9 |
| Avg boost | 52.5 |
| Boost stolen / game | 439.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 11.1% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1469.8 |
| % supersonic | 9.9% |
| % time high in air | 3.2% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3052.2 |
| % time attacking third | 21.3% |
| Demos / game | 0.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 35.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S23 | Amateur | 51 | 0.51 | 0.45 | 0.74 | 309 |
| S24 | Amateur | 52 | 0.73 | 0.48 | 0.96 | 337 |
| S25 | Contender | 55 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.87 | 354 |
| S26 | Contender | 30 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.97 | 354 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.64 – 0.78 |
| Assists/game | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.43 – 0.54 |
| Saves/game | 0.97 | 1.04 | 0.96 – 1.1 |
| Shots/game | 2.13 | 2.17 | 2.05 – 2.3 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cundy | S14 | Veteran | 0.62 | 0.56 | 0.88 | 0.70 |
| AZoroARK | S21 | Contender | 0.86 | 0.52 | 1.02 | 0.73 |
| Squashy | S25 | Elite | 0.78 | 0.44 | 1.11 | 0.78 |
| birds aren't real | S23 | Challenger | 0.62 | 0.41 | 0.91 | 0.83 |
| Sohl | S20 | Challenger | 0.69 | 0.54 | 1.15 | 0.83 |
| CaptnFlufflepuff | S20 | Prospect | 0.7 | 0.54 | 1.07 | 0.83 |
| GFC-RAIDER | S25 | Challenger | 0.75 | 0.56 | 1.19 | 0.85 |
| Chill | S21 | Elite | 0.64 | 0.5 | 0.93 | 0.85 |
| JoeExotic | S25 | Rival | 0.68 | 0.55 | 1.12 | 0.88 |
| Whiffy_RL | S22 | Challenger | 0.83 | 0.46 | 1.04 | 0.89 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.