Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 421.58 | 10118 |
|
| Goals | 1.0 | 24 |
|
| Assists | 0.46 | 11 |
|
| Saves | 1.75 | 42 |
|
| Shots | 2.79 | 67 |
|
| Demos | 0.79 | 19 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Master |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 421.58 | #73 / 1213 | #7 / 107 |
| Goals | 1.0 | #139 / 1213 | #9 / 107 |
| Assists | 0.46 | #619 / 1213 | #51 / 107 |
| Saves | 1.75 | #80 / 1213 | #11 / 107 |
| Demos | 0.79 | #596 / 1213 | #58 / 107 |
60% of the season is played (24 → ~40 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (154 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 10118 | 16863 | 16582 | 16582 | 16456 – 16708 |
| Goals | 24 | 40 | 39 | 39 | 33 – 45 |
| Assists | 11 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 14 – 23 |
| Saves | 42 | 70 | 68 | 70 | 60 – 77 |
| Shots | 67 | 112 | 111 | 110 | 100 – 121 |
| Demos | 19 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 27 – 39 |
| MVPs | 7 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 8 – 14 |
From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 373.2 |
| Avg boost | 49.7 |
| Boost stolen / game | 472.5 |
| % time at 0 boost | 10.8% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1560.5 |
| % supersonic | 12.8% |
| % time high in air | 5.3% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3060.8 |
| % time attacking third | 20.0% |
| Demos / game | 0.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.3 |
| Shooting % | 35.6% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Elite | 8 | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 401 |
| S21 | Master | 4 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 1.0 | 378 |
| S22 | Elite | 8 | 0.25 | 0.88 | 1.0 | 376 |
| S23 | Elite | 55 | 1.0 | 0.82 | 1.82 | 391 |
| S24 | Master | 48 | 0.54 | 0.62 | 1.77 | 386 |
| S25 | Master | 35 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 2.06 | 389 |
| S26 | Master | 24 | 1.0 | 0.46 | 1.75 | 373 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.25 | 1.1 | 1.0 – 1.2 |
| Assists/game | 1.0 | 0.85 | 0.75 – 1.0 |
| Saves/game | 1.5 | 1.44 | 1.34 – 1.5 |
| Shots/game | 2.88 | 3.0 | 2.75 – 3.16 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bradyK- | S20 | Veteran | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.38 | 1.45 |
| Lil Panda | S21 | Elite | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.45 | 1.57 |
| DJDancingDuckGIF | S23 | Elite | 1.0 | 0.82 | 1.82 | 1.58 |
| Yami ^^ | S23 | Veteran | 1.19 | 0.73 | 1.44 | 1.67 |
| derrrrrrrrp | S14 | Challenger | 1.0 | 0.93 | 1.6 | 1.69 |
| LMNS | S24 | Premier | 1.06 | 0.81 | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| PixelSkills | S26 | Elite | 1.19 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| Snipes | S25 | Master | 1.04 | 0.73 | 1.62 | 1.81 |
| SirTommyNoble | S20 | Veteran | 1.25 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.81 |
| Nahzey- | S23 | Elite | 1.5 | 0.93 | 1.43 | 1.85 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.