Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 378.28 | 13618 |
|
| Goals | 0.64 | 23 |
|
| Assists | 0.64 | 23 |
|
| Saves | 1.75 | 63 |
|
| Shots | 2.67 | 96 |
|
| Demos | 0.44 | 16 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Elite |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 378.28 | #224 / 1215 | #42 / 179 |
| Goals | 0.64 | #641 / 1215 | #93 / 179 |
| Assists | 0.64 | #281 / 1215 | #49 / 179 |
| Saves | 1.75 | #82 / 1215 | #13 / 179 |
| Demos | 0.44 | #854 / 1215 | #122 / 179 |
56% of the season is played (36 → ~64 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (57 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 13618 | 24210 | 24089 | 24089 | 23921 – 24257 |
| Goals | 23 | 41 | 42 | 44 | 34 – 49 |
| Assists | 23 | 41 | 41 | 42 | 34 – 47 |
| Saves | 63 | 112 | 110 | 109 | 99 – 121 |
| Shots | 96 | 171 | 170 | 178 | 156 – 184 |
| Demos | 16 | 28 | 32 | 31 | 25 – 38 |
| MVPs | 5 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 – 12 |
From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 413.9 |
| Avg boost | 45.1 |
| Boost stolen / game | 505.0 |
| % time at 0 boost | 17.6% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1500.5 |
| % supersonic | 13.6% |
| % time high in air | 5.1% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2890.7 |
| % time attacking third | 20.6% |
| Demos / game | 0.4 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.5 |
| Shooting % | 24.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Veteran | 57 | 1.14 | 0.74 | 1.33 | 445 |
| S26 | Elite | 32 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 1.75 | 414 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.69 | 0.75 | 0.69 – 0.82 |
| Assists/game | 0.69 | 0.68 | 0.62 – 0.72 |
| Saves/game | 1.75 | 1.68 | 1.59 – 1.75 |
| Shots/game | 2.75 | 2.71 | 2.5 – 2.84 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DribblingPenguin | S24 | Elite | 0.83 | 0.67 | 1.89 | 0.97 |
| Billy_Man_Fi3h | S17 | Rival | 0.62 | 0.62 | 1.62 | 1.03 |
| chefty | S23 | Veteran | 0.75 | 0.7 | 1.64 | 1.05 |
| Shxde^^ | S23 | Elite | 0.79 | 0.75 | 1.71 | 1.08 |
| DribblingPenguin | S22 | Veteran | 0.69 | 0.68 | 1.64 | 1.13 |
| Pooka2854 | S18 | Rival | 0.82 | 0.73 | 1.54 | 1.15 |
| Sulace | S14 | Elite | 0.62 | 0.88 | 1.75 | 1.18 |
| boywunder | S26 | Elite | 0.72 | 0.81 | 1.78 | 1.21 |
| end of navegelion | S24 | Premier | 0.68 | 0.68 | 1.68 | 1.21 |
| trendy <3 | S24 | Veteran | 0.77 | 0.8 | 1.47 | 1.21 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.