Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 298.07 | 8942 |
|
| Goals | 0.63 | 19 |
|
| Assists | 0.47 | 14 |
|
| Saves | 1.0 | 30 |
|
| Shots | 1.83 | 55 |
|
| Demos | 1.03 | 31 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 298.07 | #764 / 1215 | #112 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.63 | #655 / 1215 | #92 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.47 | #617 / 1215 | #88 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.0 | #738 / 1215 | #115 / 164 |
| Demos | 1.03 | #378 / 1215 | #54 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (30 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (180 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8942 | 15798 | 16006 | 16006 | 15870 – 16143 |
| Goals | 19 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 28 – 40 |
| Assists | 14 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 20 – 30 |
| Saves | 30 | 53 | 55 | 53 | 47 – 63 |
| Shots | 55 | 97 | 100 | 100 | 89 – 111 |
| Demos | 31 | 55 | 55 | 55 | 47 – 63 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 – 8 |
From 26 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 374.2 |
| Avg boost | 45.4 |
| Boost stolen / game | 468.2 |
| % time at 0 boost | 13.9% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1481.4 |
| % supersonic | 10.7% |
| % time high in air | 4.7% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3005.5 |
| % time attacking third | 19.6% |
| Demos / game | 0.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 39.5% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Rival | 4 | 0.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 366 |
| S22 | Challenger | 34 | 0.91 | 0.5 | 1.15 | 370 |
| S23 | Rival | 34 | 0.53 | 0.62 | 1.06 | 362 |
| S24 | Rival | 61 | 0.56 | 0.61 | 1.07 | 372 |
| S25 | Rival | 51 | 0.65 | 0.49 | 1.02 | 379 |
| S26 | Rival | 26 | 0.69 | 0.42 | 1.08 | 374 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.69 | 0.62 | 0.58 – 0.7 |
| Assists/game | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0.39 – 0.46 |
| Saves/game | 1.08 | 1.06 | 1.0 – 1.15 |
| Shots/game | 1.85 | 1.87 | 1.8 – 2.0 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StruttRL | S26 | Prospect | 0.58 | 0.35 | 1.12 | 0.76 |
| Armando | S24 | Veteran | 0.6 | 0.46 | 1.24 | 0.79 |
| Novarchite / Jaager | S23 | Challenger | 0.66 | 0.41 | 1.17 | 0.80 |
| Larkspur | S25 | Challenger | 0.76 | 0.44 | 1.06 | 0.82 |
| CoachJimmy_TECT | S20 | Contender | 0.54 | 0.46 | 1.08 | 0.82 |
| StephM2_ | S23 | Amateur | 0.71 | 0.41 | 1.1 | 0.86 |
| xReaperDen | S21 | Contender | 0.71 | 0.29 | 0.93 | 0.87 |
| fyooze | S22 | Challenger | 0.63 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.89 |
| korndoguwu | S24 | Challenger | 0.62 | 0.46 | 1.15 | 0.90 |
| Shai | S18 | Veteran | 0.67 | 0.42 | 1.08 | 0.93 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.