Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 220.07 | 3301 |
|
| Goals | 0.33 | 5 |
|
| Assists | 0.4 | 6 |
|
| Saves | 0.73 | 11 |
|
| Shots | 2.13 | 32 |
|
| Demos | 0.93 | 14 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Elite |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 220.07 | #931 / 1215 | #129 / 179 |
| Goals | 0.33 | #893 / 1215 | #124 / 179 |
| Assists | 0.4 | #725 / 1215 | #106 / 179 |
| Saves | 0.73 | #903 / 1215 | #128 / 179 |
| Demos | 0.93 | #474 / 1215 | #71 / 179 |
56% of the season is played (15 → ~27 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (175 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 3301 | 5942 | 6503 | 6503 | 6414 – 6593 |
| Goals | 5 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 7 – 15 |
| Assists | 6 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 8 – 15 |
| Saves | 11 | 20 | 23 | 23 | 17 – 28 |
| Shots | 32 | 58 | 59 | 61 | 51 – 68 |
| Demos | 14 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 20 – 31 |
| MVPs | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 – 2 |
From 15 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 403.8 |
| Avg boost | 55.6 |
| Boost stolen / game | 624.9 |
| % time at 0 boost | 10.7% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1540.2 |
| % supersonic | 14.6% |
| % time high in air | 5.7% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3248.8 |
| % time attacking third | 26.7% |
| Demos / game | 0.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.4 |
| Shooting % | 17.6% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S22 | Veteran | 43 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.16 | 358 |
| S23 | Veteran | 48 | 1.08 | 0.67 | 1.4 | 394 |
| S24 | Elite | 40 | 0.8 | 0.52 | 1.12 | 392 |
| S25 | Elite | 44 | 0.73 | 0.43 | 1.34 | 429 |
| S26 | Elite | 15 | 0.33 | 0.4 | 0.73 | 404 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.33 | 0.58 | 0.5 – 0.62 |
| Assists/game | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.42 – 0.6 |
| Saves/game | 0.73 | 0.9 | 0.75 – 1.0 |
| Shots/game | 2.13 | 2.32 | 2.12 – 2.42 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotti | S18 | Master | 0.31 | 0.62 | 0.88 | 1.60 |
| Lukemsnookems | S21 | Rival | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.88 | 1.69 |
| Karistafir al-nadim | S24 | Premier | 0.58 | 0.42 | 0.75 | 1.70 |
| beesefamous | S14 | Premier | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.75 |
| Wontay | S23 | Elite | 0.55 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.80 |
| Scotti | S21 | Master | 0.31 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.82 |
| Redfire0817 | S13 | Prospect | 0.64 | 0.46 | 1.0 | 1.84 |
| haakon | S19 | Rival | 0.5 | 0.62 | 1.0 | 1.92 |
| KaguraShinkiller | S18 | Master | 0.62 | 0.5 | 0.75 | 2.04 |
| kamui | S23 | Elite | 0.58 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.08 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.