Dub_Dill

Elite - Fire - 1-14 (0.067)
74 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 15 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 74/100 Tier dominance: 10th (-1.2 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
0
0% of games
Shot %
16%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 220.07 3301
0th
Goals 0.33 5
3rd
Assists 0.4 6
16th
Saves 0.73 11
1st
Shots 2.13 32
19th
Demos 0.93 14
45th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points220.07 #931 / 1215 #129 / 179
Goals0.33 #893 / 1215 #124 / 179
Assists0.4 #725 / 1215 #106 / 179
Saves0.73 #903 / 1215 #128 / 179
Demos0.93 #474 / 1215 #71 / 179

Season projection

Low confidence

56% of the season is played (15 → ~27 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (175 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 3301 5942 6503 6503 6414 – 6593
Goals 5 9 11 12 7 – 15
Assists 6 11 12 12 8 – 15
Saves 11 20 23 23 17 – 28
Shots 32 58 59 61 51 – 68
Demos 14 25 26 25 20 – 31
MVPs 0 0 1 1 0 – 2

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 3 /100

From 15 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 403.8
Avg boost 55.6
Boost stolen / game 624.9
% time at 0 boost 10.7%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1540.2
% supersonic 14.6%
% time high in air 5.7%
Avg distance to ball 3248.8
% time attacking third 26.7%
Demos / game 0.9
Demos taken / game 1.4
Shooting % 17.6%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S22Veteran43 1.00.881.16 358
S23Veteran48 1.080.671.4 394
S24Elite40 0.80.521.12 392
S25Elite44 0.730.431.34 429
S26Elite15 0.330.40.73 404

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.33 0.58 0.5 – 0.62
Assists/game0.4 0.5 0.42 – 0.6
Saves/game0.73 0.9 0.75 – 1.0
Shots/game2.13 2.32 2.12 – 2.42

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Scotti S18Master 0.310.620.88 1.60
Lukemsnookems S21Rival 0.380.620.88 1.69
Karistafir al-nadim S24Premier 0.580.420.75 1.70
beesefamous S14Premier 0.70.30.9 1.75
Wontay S23Elite 0.550.61.1 1.80
Scotti S21Master 0.310.51.0 1.82
Redfire0817 S13Prospect 0.640.461.0 1.84
haakon S19Rival 0.50.621.0 1.92
KaguraShinkiller S18Master 0.620.50.75 2.04
kamui S23Elite 0.580.60.9 2.08

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.