Eggie D

Elite - Afterburners - 13-23 (0.361)
79 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 36 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 79/100 Tier dominance: 47th (-0.2 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
11% of games
Shot %
34%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 363.75 13095
57th
Goals 0.83 30
60th
Assists 0.44 16
23rd
Saves 1.69 61
81st
Shots 2.47 89
40th
Demos 1.44 52
80th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points363.75 #313 / 1215 #55 / 179
Goals0.83 #331 / 1215 #48 / 179
Assists0.44 #648 / 1215 #98 / 179
Saves1.69 #115 / 1215 #23 / 179
Demos1.44 #153 / 1215 #26 / 179

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (36 → ~64 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 13095 23280 23233 23068 – 23398
Goals 30 53 53 45 – 61
Assists 16 28 29 23 – 35
Saves 61 108 107 96 – 118
Shots 89 158 159 145 – 172
Demos 52 92 90 80 – 101
MVPs 4 7 7 4 – 10

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 80 /100

From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 429.1
Avg boost 46.2
Boost stolen / game 495.1
% time at 0 boost 14.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1534.7
% supersonic 12.2%
% time high in air 4.6%
Avg distance to ball 2869.4
% time attacking third 20.3%
Demos / game 1.5
Demos taken / game 1.2
Shooting % 38.0%

Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.