Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 335.52 | 7717 |
|
| Goals | 0.83 | 19 |
|
| Assists | 0.43 | 10 |
|
| Saves | 1.04 | 24 |
|
| Shots | 2.61 | 60 |
|
| Demos | 0.87 | 20 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 335.52 | #535 / 1215 | #36 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.83 | #362 / 1215 | #38 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.43 | #676 / 1215 | #70 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.04 | #727 / 1215 | #66 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.87 | #537 / 1215 | #43 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (23 → ~36 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (150 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 7717 | 12079 | 12017 | 12017 | 11917 – 12117 |
| Goals | 19 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 24 – 34 |
| Assists | 10 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 12 – 20 |
| Saves | 24 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 32 – 44 |
| Shots | 60 | 94 | 93 | 92 | 84 – 102 |
| Demos | 20 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 26 – 36 |
| MVPs | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 – 8 |
From 22 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 351.8 |
| Avg boost | 49.7 |
| Boost stolen / game | 450.3 |
| % time at 0 boost | 10.5% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1472.8 |
| % supersonic | 9.3% |
| % time high in air | 3.4% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2951.3 |
| % time attacking third | 20.3% |
| Demos / game | 0.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.5 |
| Shooting % | 31.5% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Prospect | 38 | 0.63 | 0.53 | 1.0 | 305 |
| S21 | Prospect | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 339 |
| S22 | Prospect | 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 305 |
| S23 | Prospect | 54 | 0.93 | 0.72 | 1.06 | 317 |
| S24 | Challenger | 18 | 0.56 | 0.61 | 1.33 | 297 |
| S25 | Prospect | 40 | 0.52 | 0.3 | 1.45 | 327 |
| S26 | Contender | 22 | 0.86 | 0.41 | 1.09 | 352 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.86 | 0.83 | 0.81 – 0.89 |
| Assists/game | 0.41 | 0.42 | 0.4 – 0.48 |
| Saves/game | 1.09 | 1.17 | 1.08 – 1.23 |
| Shots/game | 2.68 | 2.6 | 2.5 – 2.73 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot97 | S20 | Prospect | 0.83 | 0.46 | 1.03 | 0.61 |
| BaldManStreamer | S22 | Veteran | 0.89 | 0.43 | 1.31 | 0.76 |
| Sly | S23 | Rival | 0.91 | 0.46 | 1.29 | 0.81 |
| daggumbigfeet | S24 | Veteran | 0.85 | 0.38 | 1.08 | 0.82 |
| 7aco104 | S23 | Challenger | 0.76 | 0.4 | 1.18 | 0.84 |
| 1999 Toyota Camry | S24 | Rival | 0.82 | 0.51 | 1.2 | 0.88 |
| Escape_Plan | S22 | Veteran | 0.76 | 0.36 | 1.21 | 0.91 |
| Porkchop | S21 | Rival | 0.85 | 0.35 | 1.23 | 0.91 |
| doctorprofessor_ | S23 | Rival | 0.83 | 0.49 | 1.07 | 0.91 |
| timthebigone | S25 | Prospect | 0.72 | 0.42 | 1.14 | 0.92 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.