Emjay

Challenger - Scribes - 10-13 (0.435)
33 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 23 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 33/100 Tier dominance: 20th (-0.8 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
9% of games
Shot %
29%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 318.74 7331
34th
Goals 0.61 14
28th
Assists 0.39 9
20th
Saves 1.13 26
27th
Shots 2.13 49
19th
Demos 0.48 11
13th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points318.74 #656 / 1215 #88 / 166
Goals0.61 #687 / 1215 #96 / 166
Assists0.39 #744 / 1215 #106 / 166
Saves1.13 #652 / 1215 #96 / 166
Demos0.48 #840 / 1215 #116 / 166

Season projection

Medium confidence

60% of the season is played (23 → ~38 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 7331 12112 12199 12090 – 12308
Goals 14 23 24 19 – 29
Assists 9 15 15 11 – 19
Saves 26 43 44 37 – 50
Shots 49 81 82 73 – 91
Demos 11 18 20 15 – 25
MVPs 2 3 4 2 – 6

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 29 /100

From 21 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 412.9
Avg boost 49.7
Boost stolen / game 521.5
% time at 0 boost 12.2%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1558.4
% supersonic 12.5%
% time high in air 3.2%
Avg distance to ball 3081.2
% time attacking third 21.0%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 1.2
Shooting % 28.1%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~36 OVR High confidence — inferred from 127 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 33.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)354134-129 51% 361
RSC (official)53-1 75% 261
Non-RSC ranked 3v312742-45 48% 283
Non-RSC other22289-83 52% 407

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.62 0.62 0.56 – 0.71
Assists/game0.38 0.42 0.34 – 0.49
Saves/game1.09 1.09 1.04 – 1.16
Shots/game2.19 2.25 2.12 – 2.41

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Turtle_Supreme S22Rival 0.60.41.0 0.84
Gizmo S22Elite 0.580.421.08 1.02
bayylock S25Veteran 0.70.461.07 1.04
AlphaChuck S20Elite 0.670.51.25 1.05
Free. S25Rival 0.570.391.16 1.09
watz S22Rival 0.50.50.88 1.10
Bricked Up Barry S22Rival 0.720.331.06 1.14
Kflip11 S23Challenger 0.760.410.98 1.16
Mysty S23Rival 0.560.41.16 1.18
Flurry ^-^ S25Elite 0.680.480.94 1.19

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.