Exilesbad

Veteran - Grizzly Bears - 15-13 (0.536)
71 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 28 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 71/100 Tier dominance: 90th (+1.1 SD) Projects as: Veteran Role: Striker / Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
7
25% of games
Shot %
36%

Per-game production (percentile within Veteran)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 445.71 12480
95th
Goals 1.18 33
95th
Assists 0.57 16
47th
Saves 1.75 49
86th
Shots 3.25 91
89th
Demos 0.71 20
26th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Veteran
Points445.71 #23 / 1213 #6 / 169
Goals1.18 #60 / 1213 #7 / 169
Assists0.57 #403 / 1213 #69 / 169
Saves1.75 #80 / 1213 #16 / 169
Demos0.71 #659 / 1213 #99 / 169

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (28 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 12480 22286 21830 21672 – 21987
Goals 33 59 57 49 – 65
Assists 16 29 29 23 – 34
Saves 49 88 86 76 – 96
Shots 91 162 159 146 – 173
Demos 20 36 38 31 – 44
MVPs 7 12 12 8 – 16

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 90 /100

From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 400.3
Avg boost 52.2
Boost stolen / game 466.5
% time at 0 boost 12.1%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1566.9
% supersonic 15.4%
% time high in air 5.9%
Avg distance to ball 2759.5
% time attacking third 20.2%
Demos / game 0.7
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 35.4%

Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.