Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 366.12 | 11716 |
|
| Goals | 0.75 | 24 |
|
| Assists | 0.88 | 28 |
|
| Saves | 1.31 | 42 |
|
| Shots | 2.19 | 70 |
|
| Demos | 0.97 | 31 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Premier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 366.12 | #301 / 1213 | #19 / 73 |
| Goals | 0.75 | #443 / 1213 | #22 / 73 |
| Assists | 0.88 | #51 / 1213 | #3 / 73 |
| Saves | 1.31 | #457 / 1213 | #33 / 73 |
| Demos | 0.97 | #437 / 1213 | #37 / 73 |
64% of the season is played (32 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (156 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 11716 | 18306 | 18294 | 18294 | 18169 – 18419 |
| Goals | 24 | 38 | 38 | 37 | 32 – 43 |
| Assists | 28 | 44 | 43 | 42 | 37 – 49 |
| Saves | 42 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 58 – 74 |
| Shots | 70 | 109 | 111 | 110 | 101 – 121 |
| Demos | 31 | 48 | 50 | 48 | 43 – 56 |
| MVPs | 9 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 10 – 17 |
From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 439.8 |
| Avg boost | 47.8 |
| Boost stolen / game | 577.5 |
| % time at 0 boost | 15.1% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1554.8 |
| % supersonic | 17.3% |
| % time high in air | 6.0% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2741.8 |
| % time attacking third | 20.3% |
| Demos / game | 1.0 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 35.3% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S22 | Premier | 19 | 1.05 | 0.68 | 1.1 | 407 |
| S23 | Premier | 56 | 0.57 | 0.46 | 1.62 | 400 |
| S24 | Premier | 25 | 0.84 | 0.72 | 1.56 | 415 |
| S25 | Premier | 56 | 0.68 | 0.59 | 1.38 | 432 |
| S26 | Premier | 32 | 0.75 | 0.88 | 1.31 | 440 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.75 | 0.73 | 0.65 – 0.79 |
| Assists/game | 0.88 | 0.76 | 0.68 – 0.81 |
| Saves/game | 1.31 | 1.32 | 1.25 – 1.4 |
| Shots/game | 2.19 | 2.32 | 2.12 – 2.6 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ThatHomieGage | S25 | Prospect | 0.74 | 0.8 | 1.49 | 1.05 |
| Taiga | S26 | Elite | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.20 |
| relax | S14 | Master | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.23 |
| Noriko | S24 | Premier | 0.86 | 0.81 | 1.52 | 1.25 |
| swazy. | S13 | Premier | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| bustt. | S25 | Master | 0.79 | 0.79 | 1.32 | 1.31 |
| ASHES. | S20 | Premier | 0.5 | 0.92 | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| Ay G. | S19 | Elite | 0.69 | 0.81 | 1.12 | 1.35 |
| Rayinator. | S21 | Elite | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.12 | 1.36 |
| Des. | S20 | Rival | 0.75 | 0.67 | 1.17 | 1.37 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.