Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 288.21 | 9799 |
|
| Goals | 0.59 | 20 |
|
| Assists | 0.53 | 18 |
|
| Saves | 1.21 | 41 |
|
| Shots | 2.06 | 70 |
|
| Demos | 1.09 | 37 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 288.21 | #810 / 1215 | #80 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.59 | #714 / 1215 | #78 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.53 | #483 / 1215 | #39 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.21 | #571 / 1215 | #44 / 134 |
| Demos | 1.09 | #336 / 1215 | #24 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (34 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (28 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9799 | 15275 | 15379 | 15379 | 15264 – 15495 |
| Goals | 20 | 31 | 32 | 30 | 26 – 37 |
| Assists | 18 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 23 – 33 |
| Saves | 41 | 64 | 64 | 61 | 56 – 71 |
| Shots | 70 | 109 | 110 | 107 | 100 – 120 |
| Demos | 37 | 58 | 57 | 55 | 50 – 64 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 – 7 |
From 30 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 259.0 |
| Avg boost | 52.2 |
| Boost stolen / game | 351.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 8.0% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1291.6 |
| % supersonic | 5.3% |
| % time high in air | 2.1% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3222.8 |
| % time attacking third | 16.0% |
| Demos / game | 1.0 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.1 |
| Shooting % | 31.6% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Contender | 28 | 0.43 | 0.61 | 0.68 | 217 |
| S26 | Contender | 30 | 0.57 | 0.47 | 1.3 | 259 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.57 | 0.5 | 0.46 – 0.61 |
| Assists/game | 0.47 | 0.44 | 0.36 – 0.49 |
| Saves/game | 1.3 | 1.22 | 1.12 – 1.29 |
| Shots/game | 1.83 | 1.86 | 1.67 – 2.12 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VickyViksta | S17 | Challenger | 0.5 | 0.36 | 1.14 | 1.29 |
| K.Doughboy | S19 | Prospect | 0.55 | 0.46 | 1.27 | 1.41 |
| Evil twin | S24 | Prospect | 0.45 | 0.4 | 1.35 | 1.48 |
| Ander | S25 | Amateur | 0.48 | 0.46 | 1.15 | 1.55 |
| Evil twin | S23 | Prospect | 0.42 | 0.35 | 1.12 | 1.57 |
| N0MrThomasMn | S19 | Amateur | 0.75 | 0.25 | 1.42 | 1.57 |
| WILLBONG | S23 | Challenger | 0.56 | 0.5 | 1.26 | 1.61 |
| gunz | S26 | Contender | 0.62 | 0.46 | 1.12 | 1.62 |
| Evil twin | S20 | Contender | 0.43 | 0.36 | 1.29 | 1.65 |
| Sol | S18 | Amateur | 0.54 | 0.49 | 1.08 | 1.67 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.