GrandPlat

Master - Nightmare - 14-17 (0.452)
86 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 31 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 86/100 Tier dominance: 4th (-1.7 SD) Projects as: Elite ↓ Below tier level Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
10% of games
Shot %
29%

Per-game production (percentile within Master)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 329.61 10218
28th
Goals 0.58 18
24th
Assists 0.32 10
17th
Saves 1.61 50
76th
Shots 2.0 62
12th
Demos 0.61 19
9th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Master
Points329.61 #585 / 1215 #56 / 107
Goals0.58 #724 / 1215 #59 / 107
Assists0.32 #840 / 1215 #65 / 107
Saves1.61 #165 / 1215 #19 / 107
Demos0.61 #745 / 1215 #71 / 107

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (31 → ~52 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (133 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 10218 17140 17224 17224 17091 – 17358
Goals 18 30 31 31 25 – 36
Assists 10 17 18 19 13 – 22
Saves 50 84 83 85 74 – 92
Shots 62 104 106 106 96 – 117
Demos 19 32 34 33 28 – 41
MVPs 3 5 5 5 3 – 8

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 35 /100

From 27 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 386.2
Avg boost 47.1
Boost stolen / game 477.4
% time at 0 boost 10.7%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1490.5
% supersonic 13.7%
% time high in air 4.2%
Avg distance to ball 2809.8
% time attacking third 18.6%
Demos / game 0.6
Demos taken / game 1.4
Shooting % 29.6%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Master4 0.750.251.5 308
S21Master4 0.250.51.75 391
S22Elite15 1.071.02.13 395
S23Elite63 0.840.621.84 381
S24Master21 0.520.711.38 354
S25Master34 0.680.761.68 377
S26Master27 0.630.371.67 386

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~62 OVR High confidence — inferred from 1411 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 86.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)61242471-2333 51% 388
RSC (official)2713-12 52% 371
Non-RSC ranked 3v31411515-502 51% 325
Non-RSC other46861943-1819 52% 407

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.63 0.61 0.58 – 0.65
Assists/game0.37 0.41 0.34 – 0.45
Saves/game1.67 1.55 1.47 – 1.64
Shots/game2.04 2.14 2.08 – 2.21

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
SGE Nemesis S25Elite 0.620.331.75 0.83
Heca S20Veteran 0.580.331.67 0.93
dyl S17Challenger 0.60.31.6 1.00
S3EZ S25Rival 0.550.451.47 1.02
Falcon D3w S22Veteran 0.60.31.4 1.06
ZippytheGnome S23Rival 0.630.491.51 1.10
haileyset S24Rival 0.70.431.54 1.13
Mysty S13Rival 0.750.51.5 1.15
pokenine101 S23Challenger 0.610.431.39 1.15
SlimmySlimReaper S23Rival 0.80.391.55 1.17

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.