Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 254.68 | 7131 |
|
| Goals | 0.36 | 10 |
|
| Assists | 0.43 | 12 |
|
| Saves | 1.36 | 38 |
|
| Shots | 1.25 | 35 |
|
| Demos | 0.29 | 8 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 254.68 | #891 / 1215 | #127 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.36 | #887 / 1215 | #123 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.43 | #685 / 1215 | #98 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.36 | #414 / 1215 | #64 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.29 | #912 / 1215 | #129 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (28 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (58 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 7131 | 12734 | 13157 | 13157 | 13031 – 13283 |
| Goals | 10 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 15 – 25 |
| Assists | 12 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 17 – 27 |
| Saves | 38 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 59 – 77 |
| Shots | 35 | 62 | 69 | 65 | 59 – 78 |
| Demos | 8 | 14 | 18 | 15 | 13 – 23 |
| MVPs | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 – 2 |
From 27 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 331.2 |
| Avg boost | 46.8 |
| Boost stolen / game | 310.4 |
| % time at 0 boost | 15.5% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1435.2 |
| % supersonic | 7.2% |
| % time high in air | 4.0% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3405.9 |
| % time attacking third | 18.2% |
| Demos / game | 0.3 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 29.5% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S22 | Veteran | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 309 |
| S23 | Rival | 13 | 0.85 | 0.15 | 1.31 | 334 |
| S24 | Veteran | 32 | 0.28 | 0.41 | 1.34 | 324 |
| S25 | Rival | 13 | 0.69 | 0.38 | 1.38 | 306 |
| S26 | Rival | 27 | 0.37 | 0.44 | 1.41 | 331 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.37 | 0.38 | 0.3 – 0.45 |
| Assists/game | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.36 – 0.58 |
| Saves/game | 1.41 | 1.38 | 1.29 – 1.46 |
| Shots/game | 1.22 | 1.52 | 1.37 – 1.73 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HI7MAN305 | S24 | Veteran | 0.28 | 0.41 | 1.34 | 0.82 |
| B1scuit_Murder | S19 | Prospect | 0.42 | 0.33 | 1.42 | 1.19 |
| dino_chick3n | S23 | Challenger | 0.45 | 0.42 | 1.53 | 1.20 |
| Lord Canadian | S21 | Elite | 0.35 | 0.35 | 1.47 | 1.24 |
| FattyMcChef04 | S23 | Prospect | 0.37 | 0.26 | 1.22 | 1.26 |
| Slashfabo420 | S22 | Contender | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.28 |
| Fryder | S19 | Challenger | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.38 |
| Colossus4203316 | S21 | Contender | 0.3 | 0.44 | 1.17 | 1.38 |
| xLunarWolfx | S24 | Challenger | 0.38 | 0.3 | 1.42 | 1.39 |
| Fluffy-Death | S20 | Rival | 0.38 | 0.62 | 1.38 | 1.43 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.