HalfieHour

Challenger - Insider Traders - 22-13 (0.629)
37 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 35 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 37/100 Tier dominance: 51st (-0.2 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
9% of games
Shot %
39%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 328.43 11495
41st
Goals 0.91 32
74th
Assists 0.46 16
36th
Saves 1.17 41
33rd
Shots 2.34 82
37th
Demos 0.51 18
18th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points328.43 #598 / 1215 #79 / 166
Goals0.91 #241 / 1215 #35 / 166
Assists0.46 #635 / 1215 #85 / 166
Saves1.17 #607 / 1215 #89 / 166
Demos0.51 #805 / 1215 #109 / 166

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (35 → ~58 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (112 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11495 19049 19104 19104 18965 – 19242
Goals 32 53 52 54 45 – 60
Assists 16 27 27 27 22 – 32
Saves 41 68 68 69 60 – 77
Shots 82 136 137 140 125 – 148
Demos 18 30 32 31 26 – 38
MVPs 3 5 5 5 3 – 8

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 26 /100

From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 299.2
Avg boost 50.4
Boost stolen / game 472.8
% time at 0 boost 8.2%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1354.3
% supersonic 5.1%
% time high in air 2.7%
Avg distance to ball 2880.9
% time attacking third 23.8%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 35.8%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Prospect4 2.51.00.75 316
S24Challenger52 1.080.521.52 324
S25Challenger60 1.10.431.2 318
S26Challenger31 0.90.451.1 299

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~61 OVR High confidence — inferred from 694 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 37.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)60412520-2392 51% 392
RSC (official)4523-16 59% 431
Non-RSC ranked 3v3694271-258 51% 323
Non-RSC other53022226-2118 51% 401

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.9 0.92 0.83 – 1.0
Assists/game0.45 0.5 0.41 – 0.53
Saves/game1.1 1.0 0.89 – 1.1
Shots/game2.45 2.54 2.4 – 2.68

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
TimmyIU20 S24Amateur 0.920.360.89 0.91
GFC-RAIDER S20Contender 0.90.51.1 1.01
Zachthebull36 S23Prospect 0.730.441.1 1.08
tterb86 S20Rival 0.920.581.0 1.15
shadic148 S13Amateur 0.960.420.93 1.18
kgfan3 S13Contender 0.880.560.81 1.22
robophant S20Challenger 1.150.551.05 1.26
jojomojo13 S14Rival 1.170.50.92 1.27
Brillo_padd S23Challenger 0.830.380.74 1.27
lone wolf S24Prospect 0.970.361.13 1.28

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.