Hawkish

Elite - Basilisks - 22-10 (0.688)
75 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 32 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 75/100 Tier dominance: 15th (-1.0 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
3% of games
Shot %
27%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 308.62 9876
13th
Goals 0.72 23
38th
Assists 0.56 18
44th
Saves 1.0 32
8th
Shots 2.66 85
56th
Demos 0.62 20
17th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points308.62 #708 / 1215 #112 / 179
Goals0.72 #535 / 1215 #79 / 179
Assists0.56 #420 / 1215 #70 / 179
Saves1.0 #738 / 1215 #110 / 179
Demos0.62 #733 / 1215 #107 / 179

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (32 → ~57 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (220 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 9876 17592 17821 17821 17676 – 17967
Goals 23 41 41 42 34 – 48
Assists 18 32 32 32 26 – 38
Saves 32 57 59 58 50 – 67
Shots 85 151 151 153 138 – 164
Demos 20 36 38 35 31 – 45
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 4

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 12 /100

From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 322.7
Avg boost 48.6
Boost stolen / game 388.6
% time at 0 boost 7.5%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1461.4
% supersonic 8.1%
% time high in air 3.7%
Avg distance to ball 2836.6
% time attacking third 20.8%
Demos / game 0.4
Demos taken / game 1.2
Shooting % 28.2%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Veteran10 0.70.61.3 305
S21Veteran12 0.670.581.0 298
S22Veteran48 0.960.541.35 328
S23Veteran62 1.110.661.45 337
S24Elite25 0.760.41.24 307
S25Elite63 0.780.730.75 316
S26Elite28 0.710.611.04 323

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~47 OVR High confidence — inferred from 651 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 75.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)63172422-2656 48% 346
RSC (official)8842-32 57% 337
Non-RSC ranked 3v3651265-250 51% 300
Non-RSC other55782115-2374 47% 352

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.71 0.71 0.64 – 0.81
Assists/game0.61 0.62 0.54 – 0.69
Saves/game1.04 1.05 0.98 – 1.17
Shots/game2.71 2.65 2.53 – 2.75

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Surge S17Elite 0.640.710.93 0.93
Minty-Fwesh S20Rival 0.710.591.24 0.93
Canadian Things S14Elite 0.750.51.17 0.96
LostZealous S23Challenger 0.930.551.07 0.98
OvrSizedFrog S24Challenger 0.730.531.13 0.98
Ducky S17Challenger 0.750.50.88 0.99
Limon S21Elite 0.680.531.0 1.02
Chulainn S22Prospect 0.70.651.0 1.03
EyeSucka S25Rival 0.90.71.12 1.03
Alpha Dingo S23Challenger 0.620.651.2 1.04

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.