Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 285.41 | 7706 |
|
| Goals | 0.67 | 18 |
|
| Assists | 0.52 | 14 |
|
| Saves | 1.0 | 27 |
|
| Shots | 2.0 | 54 |
|
| Demos | 1.89 | 51 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 285.41 | #816 / 1215 | #83 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.67 | #601 / 1215 | #60 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.52 | #503 / 1215 | #45 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.0 | #738 / 1215 | #68 / 134 |
| Demos | 1.89 | #58 / 1215 | #5 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (27 → ~42 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (33 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 7706 | 11987 | 12096 | 12096 | 11994 – 12197 |
| Goals | 18 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 23 – 33 |
| Assists | 14 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 17 – 26 |
| Saves | 27 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 36 – 49 |
| Shots | 54 | 84 | 85 | 83 | 77 – 94 |
| Demos | 51 | 79 | 76 | 77 | 68 – 83 |
| MVPs | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 – 5 |
From 23 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 422.4 |
| Avg boost | 54.6 |
| Boost stolen / game | 735.3 |
| % time at 0 boost | 8.8% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1536.0 |
| % supersonic | 15.0% |
| % time high in air | 3.9% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3059.7 |
| % time attacking third | 20.3% |
| Demos / game | 1.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.8 |
| Shooting % | 32.6% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Prospect | 14 | 0.5 | 0.79 | 0.71 | 372 |
| S21 | Contender | 19 | 0.9 | 0.37 | 1.1 | 385 |
| S23 | Prospect | 4 | 0.5 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 309 |
| S24 | Prospect | 5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 417 |
| S25 | Contender | 6 | 0.0 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 382 |
| S26 | Contender | 23 | 0.7 | 0.52 | 0.87 | 422 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.7 | 0.64 | 0.56 – 0.7 |
| Assists/game | 0.52 | 0.5 | 0.46 – 0.56 |
| Saves/game | 0.87 | 1.0 | 0.92 – 1.12 |
| Shots/game | 1.96 | 2.12 | 1.97 – 2.33 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daddy Driz | S22 | Challenger | 0.7 | 0.52 | 0.93 | 0.96 |
| Squirrel | S23 | Challenger | 0.62 | 0.5 | 1.12 | 1.02 |
| LoonaKami | S24 | Elite | 0.66 | 0.45 | 1.17 | 1.04 |
| DQ. | S21 | Premier | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Irishhhh | S18 | Veteran | 0.55 | 0.46 | 0.82 | 1.14 |
| 5pike | S13 | Rival | 0.69 | 0.5 | 1.06 | 1.27 |
| Cuddlingus | S24 | Challenger | 0.61 | 0.41 | 0.89 | 1.40 |
| SUPERDUPERBAM | S25 | Rival | 0.62 | 0.46 | 1.04 | 1.41 |
| Cuddlingus | S25 | Prospect | 0.51 | 0.38 | 1.08 | 1.47 |
| DoorTK | S25 | Premier | 0.44 | 0.56 | 1.0 | 1.47 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.