Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 403.22 | 7258 |
|
| Goals | 1.11 | 20 |
|
| Assists | 0.72 | 13 |
|
| Saves | 1.0 | 18 |
|
| Shots | 2.83 | 51 |
|
| Demos | 1.72 | 31 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 403.22 | #119 / 1213 | #18 / 166 |
| Goals | 1.11 | #91 / 1213 | #18 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.72 | #178 / 1213 | #22 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.0 | #722 / 1213 | #107 / 166 |
| Demos | 1.72 | #91 / 1213 | #12 / 166 |
53% of the season is played (18 → ~34 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (15 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 7258 | 13710 | 13405 | 13405 | 13277 – 13532 |
| Goals | 20 | 38 | 36 | 33 | 30 – 43 |
| Assists | 13 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 18 – 29 |
| Saves | 18 | 34 | 35 | 37 | 29 – 42 |
| Shots | 51 | 96 | 95 | 94 | 84 – 105 |
| Demos | 31 | 59 | 55 | 53 | 47 – 63 |
| MVPs | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 3 – 8 |
From 18 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 429.9 |
| Avg boost | 55.1 |
| Boost stolen / game | 630.2 |
| % time at 0 boost | 9.6% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1561.3 |
| % supersonic | 15.3% |
| % time high in air | 6.3% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2932.8 |
| % time attacking third | 23.4% |
| Demos / game | 1.7 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 40.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Veteran | 15 | 0.4 | 0.53 | 1.47 | 401 |
| S26 | Challenger | 18 | 1.11 | 0.72 | 1.0 | 430 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.11 | 1.0 | 0.91 – 1.05 |
| Assists/game | 0.72 | 0.71 | 0.66 – 0.75 |
| Saves/game | 1.0 | 1.17 | 1.07 – 1.24 |
| Shots/game | 2.83 | 2.88 | 2.67 – 2.93 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slayerof666 | S23 | Challenger | 1.13 | 0.63 | 1.07 | 0.91 |
| Jetwind17 | S25 | Challenger | 0.9 | 0.66 | 1.09 | 1.18 |
| oofitsfine | S26 | Contender | 1.09 | 0.62 | 1.28 | 1.19 |
| S_ckz | S24 | Veteran | 1.02 | 0.8 | 1.17 | 1.19 |
| Feen | S21 | Veteran | 0.94 | 0.69 | 1.0 | 1.20 |
| M0NKEE . | S25 | Veteran | 0.83 | 0.65 | 1.17 | 1.24 |
| duffy | S23 | Master | 1.17 | 0.75 | 1.25 | 1.28 |
| Captain Daddy | S24 | Veteran | 0.95 | 0.81 | 1.39 | 1.32 |
| Dark Odst RW7 | S21 | Challenger | 1.0 | 0.73 | 1.09 | 1.33 |
| mushroom | S25 | Veteran | 0.86 | 0.74 | 1.0 | 1.35 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.