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Rival - Prowlers - 18-14 (0.562)
57 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 32 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 57/100 Tier dominance: 90th (+1.2 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Striker / Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
7
22% of games
Shot %
37%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 411.44 13166
91st
Goals 1.19 38
94th
Assists 0.66 21
71st
Saves 1.31 42
47th
Shots 3.19 102
89th
Demos 0.59 19
14th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points411.44 #96 / 1213 #12 / 164
Goals1.19 #54 / 1213 #8 / 164
Assists0.66 #256 / 1213 #38 / 164
Saves1.31 #457 / 1213 #70 / 164
Demos0.59 #745 / 1213 #114 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (32 → ~57 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 13166 23452 23112 22949 – 23275
Goals 38 68 65 57 – 74
Assists 21 37 37 30 – 43
Saves 42 75 75 66 – 84
Shots 102 182 178 164 – 193
Demos 19 34 36 29 – 43
MVPs 7 12 12 8 – 16

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

No ballchasing replay data for this player. Advanced stats (boost, speed, positioning, demos) only exist for the ~37% of players whose matches/scrims were uploaded to ballchasing - coverage depends on who uploads, not on the player.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.