Idol

Rival - Polar Ice - 19-12 (0.613)
58 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 31 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 58/100 Tier dominance: 92nd (+1.2 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Anchor / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
9
29% of games
Shot %
30%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 395.74 12268
86th
Goals 0.97 30
77th
Assists 0.45 14
31st
Saves 1.65 51
84th
Shots 3.19 99
90th
Demos 1.23 38
72nd

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points395.74 #142 / 1213 #18 / 164
Goals0.97 #198 / 1213 #31 / 164
Assists0.45 #627 / 1213 #91 / 164
Saves1.65 #148 / 1213 #21 / 164
Demos1.23 #260 / 1213 #37 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (31 → ~55 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 12268 21766 21508 21352 – 21665
Goals 30 53 52 44 – 60
Assists 14 25 25 20 – 31
Saves 51 90 89 79 – 99
Shots 99 176 172 158 – 186
Demos 38 67 67 58 – 75
MVPs 9 16 15 11 – 19

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 91 /100

From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 442.5
Avg boost 52.5
Boost stolen / game 634.3
% time at 0 boost 10.5%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1562.2
% supersonic 21.4%
% time high in air 4.1%
Avg distance to ball 2876.7
% time attacking third 22.2%
Demos / game 1.2
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 29.9%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)3714-11 56% 344
Non-RSC ranked 3v391-4 20% 284
Non-RSC other2813-7 65% 363

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.97 0.96 0.92 – 1.02
Assists/game0.45 0.51 0.45 – 0.57
Saves/game1.65 1.58 1.54 – 1.67
Shots/game3.19 3.0 2.88 – 3.15

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Meloaw S25Elite 1.060.431.57 1.13
gxcid S24Rival 0.940.541.61 1.25
Fanatic S24Elite 1.00.411.82 1.26
Hocki. S19Master 0.830.331.78 1.30
donald. S24Elite 0.830.581.58 1.33
sturmo. S20Elite 1.00.621.56 1.33
not so jucy skep S23Elite 0.920.451.61 1.38
YOURDOOMED181 S17Challenger 0.920.51.58 1.44
cosmo6430 S25Rival 0.940.511.49 1.46
AngryPoptart_RL S25Veteran 0.820.391.89 1.46

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.