IrisReasoning

Contender - Eladrin - 21-13 (0.618)
11 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 34 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 11/100 Tier dominance: 51st (-0.1 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
5
15% of games
Shot %
28%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 335.06 11392
67th
Goals 0.68 23
47th
Assists 0.68 23
85th
Saves 1.24 42
63rd
Shots 2.41 82
59th
Demos 0.5 17
18th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points335.06 #538 / 1215 #37 / 134
Goals0.68 #599 / 1215 #59 / 134
Assists0.68 #227 / 1215 #17 / 134
Saves1.24 #542 / 1215 #41 / 134
Demos0.5 #806 / 1215 #82 / 134

Season projection

High confidence

64% of the season is played (34 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 11392 17758 17693 17570 – 17816
Goals 23 36 36 30 – 42
Assists 23 36 35 30 – 41
Saves 42 65 65 58 – 73
Shots 82 128 128 117 – 138
Demos 17 26 28 23 – 33
MVPs 5 8 8 5 – 10

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 24 /100

From 30 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 315.8
Avg boost 44.6
Boost stolen / game 346.2
% time at 0 boost 12.0%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1414.0
% supersonic 9.8%
% time high in air 3.0%
Avg distance to ball 2930.1
% time attacking third 20.3%
Demos / game 0.6
Demos taken / game 0.5
Shooting % 28.6%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~71 OVR Low confidence — inferred from 37 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 11.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)304130-108 55% 399
RSC (official)41-3 25% 481
Non-RSC ranked 3v33714-17 45% 339
Non-RSC other263115-88 57% 406

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.63 0.65 0.6 – 0.73
Assists/game0.7 0.65 0.6 – 0.72
Saves/game1.3 1.35 1.25 – 1.42
Shots/game2.4 2.34 2.27 – 2.55

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
xTiTax_ S26Prospect 0.610.641.29 0.56
GeneralZippy S17Master 0.620.621.25 0.64
TyTy S24Elite 0.640.641.39 0.79
DaTurquoisOrang S13Challenger 0.750.691.44 0.96
ttv. blestbb S21Rival 0.70.741.17 0.97
OvrSizedFrog S23Challenger 0.580.721.03 0.98
Wild Thing S23Challenger 0.60.621.35 1.00
Shrek Is The Best Anime S24Rival 0.740.771.3 1.03
birb queen S24Veteran 0.760.61.47 1.03
Sly S25Rival 0.580.581.33 1.05

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.