Izumi._._.

Contender - Nebulae - 17-18 (0.486)
11 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 35 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 11/100 Tier dominance: 54th (-0.1 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Striker / Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
9
26% of games
Shot %
41%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 353.14 12360
76th
Goals 0.97 34
81st
Assists 0.29 10
12th
Saves 1.34 47
72nd
Shots 2.37 83
55th
Demos 0.54 19
30th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points353.14 #398 / 1215 #27 / 134
Goals0.97 #179 / 1215 #21 / 134
Assists0.29 #860 / 1215 #96 / 134
Saves1.34 #428 / 1215 #31 / 134
Demos0.54 #783 / 1215 #78 / 134

Season projection

High confidence

64% of the season is played (35 → ~54 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (114 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 12360 19070 18942 18942 18817 – 19067
Goals 34 52 52 53 45 – 58
Assists 10 15 16 16 12 – 20
Saves 47 73 72 72 64 – 79
Shots 83 128 128 129 118 – 138
Demos 19 29 30 28 25 – 35
MVPs 9 14 14 14 10 – 17

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 44 /100

From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 319.1
Avg boost 52.2
Boost stolen / game 315.4
% time at 0 boost 9.2%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1431.2
% supersonic 8.8%
% time high in air 2.3%
Avg distance to ball 3207.0
% time attacking third 17.0%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 39.6%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Amateur56 0.930.451.27 255
S25Contender58 1.030.331.29 316
S26Contender31 1.030.321.29 319

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.