Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 363.32 | 10173 |
|
| Goals | 0.75 | 21 |
|
| Assists | 0.86 | 24 |
|
| Saves | 1.25 | 35 |
|
| Shots | 2.71 | 76 |
|
| Demos | 0.93 | 26 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Elite |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 363.32 | #317 / 1215 | #56 / 179 |
| Goals | 0.75 | #455 / 1215 | #70 / 179 |
| Assists | 0.86 | #61 / 1215 | #12 / 179 |
| Saves | 1.25 | #513 / 1215 | #84 / 179 |
| Demos | 0.93 | #483 / 1215 | #72 / 179 |
56% of the season is played (28 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (211 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 10173 | 18166 | 18123 | 18123 | 17978 – 18268 |
| Goals | 21 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 31 – 44 |
| Assists | 24 | 43 | 42 | 41 | 35 – 48 |
| Saves | 35 | 62 | 63 | 64 | 55 – 72 |
| Shots | 76 | 136 | 135 | 135 | 123 – 147 |
| Demos | 26 | 46 | 47 | 44 | 40 – 55 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 10 |
From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 383.5 |
| Avg boost | 51.0 |
| Boost stolen / game | 514.9 |
| % time at 0 boost | 8.5% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1456.5 |
| % supersonic | 7.0% |
| % time high in air | 6.0% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2874.5 |
| % time attacking third | 21.8% |
| Demos / game | 0.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 27.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Veteran | 16 | 0.94 | 1.0 | 1.31 | 382 |
| S21 | Veteran | 8 | 1.38 | 0.75 | 1.12 | 374 |
| S22 | Veteran | 56 | 0.79 | 0.68 | 1.39 | 369 |
| S23 | Elite | 15 | 0.8 | 0.73 | 1.07 | 356 |
| S24 | Elite | 60 | 0.82 | 0.55 | 1.37 | 390 |
| S25 | Elite | 56 | 0.61 | 0.46 | 1.73 | 386 |
| S26 | Elite | 24 | 0.71 | 0.96 | 1.12 | 384 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.71 | 0.75 | 0.71 – 0.88 |
| Assists/game | 0.96 | 0.83 | 0.79 – 0.98 |
| Saves/game | 1.12 | 1.07 | 1.0 – 1.15 |
| Shots/game | 2.62 | 2.48 | 2.38 – 2.64 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrtsu | S25 | Elite | 0.72 | 0.98 | 1.05 | 0.65 |
| flossy | S26 | Elite | 0.56 | 0.94 | 1.06 | 1.12 |
| xmanyaknow | S24 | Veteran | 0.83 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 1.18 |
| Mulliganisoup | S21 | Contender | 0.81 | 0.79 | 1.08 | 1.29 |
| S1r Duck | S25 | Prospect | 0.64 | 0.91 | 1.0 | 1.30 |
| shadic148 | S20 | Challenger | 0.92 | 0.83 | 1.0 | 1.33 |
| AshuraxGaming | S13 | Challenger | 0.88 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.42 |
| Squashy | S26 | Veteran | 0.64 | 0.84 | 1.36 | 1.44 |
| YtExplixiit | S24 | Veteran | 0.62 | 1.12 | 0.88 | 1.45 |
| Blaniac | S14 | Rival | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.25 | 1.46 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.