Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 282.22 | 9031 |
|
| Goals | 0.72 | 23 |
|
| Assists | 0.28 | 9 |
|
| Saves | 1.09 | 35 |
|
| Shots | 1.72 | 55 |
|
| Demos | 1.25 | 40 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 282.22 | #821 / 1215 | #119 / 166 |
| Goals | 0.72 | #535 / 1215 | #75 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.28 | #868 / 1215 | #120 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.09 | #688 / 1215 | #102 / 166 |
| Demos | 1.25 | #237 / 1215 | #28 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (32 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (194 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9031 | 14958 | 15206 | 15206 | 15081 – 15330 |
| Goals | 23 | 38 | 38 | 39 | 32 – 44 |
| Assists | 9 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 12 – 20 |
| Saves | 35 | 58 | 59 | 59 | 51 – 67 |
| Shots | 55 | 91 | 94 | 97 | 84 – 104 |
| Demos | 40 | 66 | 65 | 66 | 57 – 73 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 9 |
From 29 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 325.9 |
| Avg boost | 52.4 |
| Boost stolen / game | 434.9 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.1% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1468.7 |
| % supersonic | 11.6% |
| % time high in air | 5.2% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3164.1 |
| % time attacking third | 19.1% |
| Demos / game | 1.3 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.2 |
| Shooting % | 31.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Challenger | 3 | 0.0 | 0.33 | 2.0 | 355 |
| S22 | Challenger | 31 | 0.74 | 0.58 | 1.45 | 302 |
| S23 | Challenger | 56 | 1.0 | 0.57 | 1.16 | 324 |
| S24 | Challenger | 58 | 1.02 | 0.6 | 1.34 | 357 |
| S25 | Rival | 49 | 0.74 | 0.51 | 1.51 | 321 |
| S26 | Challenger | 29 | 0.55 | 0.21 | 1.03 | 326 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.5 – 0.62 |
| Assists/game | 0.21 | 0.31 | 0.26 – 0.38 |
| Saves/game | 1.03 | 1.07 | 1.0 – 1.12 |
| Shots/game | 1.55 | 1.73 | 1.56 – 1.88 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spoilt | S13 | Veteran | 0.55 | 0.27 | 1.09 | 0.70 |
| Goose | S26 | Rival | 0.59 | 0.27 | 1.18 | 0.98 |
| Z-iTrAsh-ZV | S20 | Contender | 0.42 | 0.33 | 1.0 | 1.04 |
| Colossus4203316 | S24 | Prospect | 0.5 | 0.32 | 1.05 | 1.09 |
| courtesan | S24 | Rival | 0.62 | 0.23 | 1.0 | 1.14 |
| Smitty | S24 | Challenger | 0.56 | 0.28 | 1.16 | 1.15 |
| Skories | S22 | Amateur | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.25 |
| Gaw1f3d | S23 | Veteran | 0.63 | 0.34 | 1.09 | 1.26 |
| nelz | S23 | Master | 0.55 | 0.18 | 1.18 | 1.30 |
| Metatonixz | S21 | Veteran | 0.54 | 0.31 | 1.15 | 1.32 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.