Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 329.09 | 7569 |
|
| Goals | 0.52 | 12 |
|
| Assists | 0.48 | 11 |
|
| Saves | 1.39 | 32 |
|
| Shots | 2.65 | 61 |
|
| Demos | 0.91 | 21 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 329.09 | #591 / 1215 | #77 / 166 |
| Goals | 0.52 | #785 / 1215 | #113 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.48 | #595 / 1215 | #80 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.39 | #368 / 1215 | #44 / 166 |
| Demos | 0.91 | #508 / 1215 | #65 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (23 → ~38 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (86 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 7569 | 12505 | 12553 | 12553 | 12442 – 12663 |
| Goals | 12 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 16 – 25 |
| Assists | 11 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 14 – 23 |
| Saves | 32 | 53 | 52 | 52 | 45 – 60 |
| Shots | 61 | 101 | 100 | 101 | 90 – 110 |
| Demos | 21 | 35 | 35 | 37 | 29 – 41 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 – 7 |
From 19 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 369.3 |
| Avg boost | 52.5 |
| Boost stolen / game | 503.3 |
| % time at 0 boost | 9.6% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1517.3 |
| % supersonic | 13.0% |
| % time high in air | 4.2% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2864.0 |
| % time attacking third | 23.2% |
| Demos / game | 0.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.1 |
| Shooting % | 21.6% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S24 | Rival | 28 | 0.68 | 0.43 | 1.36 | 384 |
| S25 | Challenger | 58 | 0.9 | 0.66 | 1.09 | 402 |
| S26 | Challenger | 19 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 1.42 | 369 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.47 | 0.58 | 0.52 – 0.67 |
| Assists/game | 0.47 | 0.49 | 0.44 – 0.53 |
| Saves/game | 1.42 | 1.36 | 1.24 – 1.52 |
| Shots/game | 2.21 | 2.27 | 2.12 – 2.32 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheFrostNL | S23 | Veteran | 0.47 | 0.47 | 1.33 | 0.78 |
| Legend | S23 | Elite | 0.38 | 0.38 | 1.54 | 0.99 |
| Lad | S25 | Elite | 0.67 | 0.41 | 1.44 | 1.00 |
| Girth | S25 | Master | 0.55 | 0.55 | 1.54 | 1.05 |
| Killer | S23 | Elite | 0.52 | 0.61 | 1.36 | 1.05 |
| Sicey | S14 | Premier | 0.42 | 0.42 | 1.17 | 1.15 |
| Daylon | S21 | Elite | 0.38 | 0.5 | 1.12 | 1.15 |
| Yaki | S25 | Elite | 0.71 | 0.44 | 1.44 | 1.15 |
| Zay | S25 | Rival | 0.76 | 0.46 | 1.54 | 1.15 |
| Nebulade | S25 | Veteran | 0.65 | 0.49 | 1.32 | 1.16 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.