Jetwind17

Challenger - Corals - 10-13 (0.435)
36 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 23 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 36/100 Tier dominance: 42nd (-0.4 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
13% of games
Shot %
20%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 329.09 7569
42nd
Goals 0.52 12
15th
Assists 0.48 11
40th
Saves 1.39 32
67th
Shots 2.65 61
63rd
Demos 0.91 21
51st

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points329.09 #591 / 1215 #77 / 166
Goals0.52 #785 / 1215 #113 / 166
Assists0.48 #595 / 1215 #80 / 166
Saves1.39 #368 / 1215 #44 / 166
Demos0.91 #508 / 1215 #65 / 166

Season projection

Medium confidence

60% of the season is played (23 → ~38 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (86 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 7569 12505 12553 12553 12442 – 12663
Goals 12 20 21 21 16 – 25
Assists 11 18 18 19 14 – 23
Saves 32 53 52 52 45 – 60
Shots 61 101 100 101 90 – 110
Demos 21 35 35 37 29 – 41
MVPs 3 5 5 5 3 – 7

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 24 /100

From 19 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 369.3
Avg boost 52.5
Boost stolen / game 503.3
% time at 0 boost 9.6%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1517.3
% supersonic 13.0%
% time high in air 4.2%
Avg distance to ball 2864.0
% time attacking third 23.2%
Demos / game 0.9
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 21.6%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Rival28 0.680.431.36 384
S25Challenger58 0.90.661.09 402
S26Challenger19 0.470.471.42 369

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.47 0.58 0.52 – 0.67
Assists/game0.47 0.49 0.44 – 0.53
Saves/game1.42 1.36 1.24 – 1.52
Shots/game2.21 2.27 2.12 – 2.32

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
TheFrostNL S23Veteran 0.470.471.33 0.78
Legend S23Elite 0.380.381.54 0.99
Lad S25Elite 0.670.411.44 1.00
Girth S25Master 0.550.551.54 1.05
Killer S23Elite 0.520.611.36 1.05
Sicey S14Premier 0.420.421.17 1.15
Daylon S21Elite 0.380.51.12 1.15
Yaki S25Elite 0.710.441.44 1.15
Zay S25Rival 0.760.461.54 1.15
Nebulade S25Veteran 0.650.491.32 1.16

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.