Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 343.53 | 10306 |
|
| Goals | 0.93 | 28 |
|
| Assists | 0.67 | 20 |
|
| Saves | 0.93 | 28 |
|
| Shots | 2.6 | 78 |
|
| Demos | 0.43 | 13 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 343.53 | #470 / 1215 | #55 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.93 | #219 / 1215 | #31 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.67 | #229 / 1215 | #28 / 161 |
| Saves | 0.93 | #823 / 1215 | #109 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.43 | #862 / 1215 | #118 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (30 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (238 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 10306 | 17177 | 17122 | 17122 | 16991 – 17253 |
| Goals | 28 | 47 | 46 | 46 | 39 – 52 |
| Assists | 20 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 27 – 38 |
| Saves | 28 | 47 | 48 | 47 | 41 – 55 |
| Shots | 78 | 130 | 129 | 130 | 118 – 140 |
| Demos | 13 | 22 | 24 | 22 | 19 – 29 |
| MVPs | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 7 – 13 |
From 26 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 340.1 |
| Avg boost | 50.1 |
| Boost stolen / game | 468.3 |
| % time at 0 boost | 10.6% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1516.3 |
| % supersonic | 11.8% |
| % time high in air | 3.4% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3243.3 |
| % time attacking third | 22.4% |
| Demos / game | 0.4 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 41.0% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Challenger | 16 | 1.19 | 0.62 | 0.38 | 351 |
| S21 | Rival | 24 | 0.5 | 0.54 | 1.12 | 344 |
| S22 | Challenger | 35 | 1.09 | 0.43 | 1.06 | 328 |
| S23 | Challenger | 54 | 0.76 | 0.41 | 0.98 | 369 |
| S24 | Challenger | 59 | 0.81 | 0.71 | 1.17 | 349 |
| S25 | Prospect | 50 | 0.98 | 0.68 | 0.98 | 349 |
| S26 | Prospect | 26 | 0.96 | 0.65 | 0.96 | 340 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.96 | 0.88 | 0.81 – 0.98 |
| Assists/game | 0.65 | 0.6 | 0.56 – 0.71 |
| Saves/game | 0.96 | 1.02 | 0.94 – 1.11 |
| Shots/game | 2.58 | 2.75 | 2.69 – 2.9 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kflip11 | S25 | Prospect | 0.98 | 0.68 | 0.98 | 0.56 |
| Kirbee | S23 | Elite | 0.85 | 0.71 | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| KryptWard | S24 | Veteran | 0.82 | 0.5 | 0.94 | 1.15 |
| Zoomin | S21 | Veteran | 0.81 | 0.58 | 1.04 | 1.15 |
| rinny_b0y | S25 | Contender | 1.02 | 0.68 | 0.96 | 1.16 |
| QX5Z | S19 | Rival | 0.81 | 0.56 | 1.12 | 1.16 |
| Blun | S21 | Rival | 0.88 | 0.75 | 0.94 | 1.17 |
| JazzMagic. | S25 | Rival | 0.97 | 0.58 | 1.11 | 1.18 |
| SayNova | S21 | Veteran | 0.88 | 0.76 | 1.12 | 1.18 |
| Saucy Rexy | S24 | Elite | 0.98 | 0.78 | 0.93 | 1.19 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.