Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 314.64 | 11327 |
|
| Goals | 0.56 | 20 |
|
| Assists | 0.61 | 22 |
|
| Saves | 1.36 | 49 |
|
| Shots | 2.22 | 80 |
|
| Demos | 1.31 | 47 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 314.64 | #677 / 1215 | #95 / 166 |
| Goals | 0.56 | #750 / 1215 | #104 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.61 | #318 / 1215 | #41 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.36 | #403 / 1215 | #53 / 166 |
| Demos | 1.31 | #221 / 1215 | #25 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (36 → ~60 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (166 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 11327 | 18878 | 18995 | 18995 | 18855 – 19134 |
| Goals | 20 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 28 – 40 |
| Assists | 22 | 37 | 36 | 36 | 30 – 42 |
| Saves | 49 | 82 | 81 | 82 | 72 – 90 |
| Shots | 80 | 133 | 135 | 133 | 123 – 146 |
| Demos | 47 | 78 | 77 | 78 | 68 – 86 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 10 |
From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 356.6 |
| Avg boost | 52.1 |
| Boost stolen / game | 410.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 9.1% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1508.2 |
| % supersonic | 16.6% |
| % time high in air | 3.6% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3311.0 |
| % time attacking third | 18.6% |
| Demos / game | 1.2 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.1 |
| Shooting % | 25.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Challenger | 4 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 2.0 | 427 |
| S21 | Challenger | 18 | 0.89 | 0.39 | 1.33 | 408 |
| S22 | Rival | 10 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 378 |
| S23 | Rival | 43 | 0.7 | 0.37 | 1.49 | 399 |
| S24 | Rival | 59 | 0.76 | 0.61 | 1.37 | 394 |
| S25 | Rival | 36 | 0.53 | 0.42 | 1.58 | 387 |
| S26 | Challenger | 32 | 0.53 | 0.66 | 1.41 | 357 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.53 | 0.51 | 0.48 – 0.6 |
| Assists/game | 0.66 | 0.59 | 0.54 – 0.61 |
| Saves/game | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.29 – 1.53 |
| Shots/game | 2.16 | 2.17 | 2.0 – 2.35 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I Ezekiel I | S25 | Veteran | 0.51 | 0.58 | 1.56 | 1.01 |
| Gizmo | S20 | Elite | 0.62 | 0.62 | 1.54 | 1.01 |
| ChromaToad | S26 | Challenger | 0.59 | 0.59 | 1.69 | 1.04 |
| Unexpected | S23 | Master | 0.46 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.13 |
| Alejandro55 | S24 | Master | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.16 |
| BlitzzyG | S23 | Veteran | 0.6 | 0.62 | 1.42 | 1.20 |
| Boog McCroog | S24 | Master | 0.49 | 0.59 | 1.18 | 1.20 |
| bradyK- | S25 | Elite | 0.5 | 0.54 | 1.23 | 1.21 |
| LegitMrMouse | S25 | Rival | 0.47 | 0.61 | 1.49 | 1.22 |
| MyTyranosaur | S23 | Elite | 0.5 | 0.72 | 1.61 | 1.23 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.