Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 380.04 | 9501 |
|
| Goals | 1.28 | 32 |
|
| Assists | 0.44 | 11 |
|
| Saves | 0.96 | 24 |
|
| Shots | 3.36 | 84 |
|
| Demos | 0.84 | 21 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 380.04 | #215 / 1215 | #13 / 134 |
| Goals | 1.28 | #29 / 1215 | #5 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.44 | #663 / 1215 | #67 / 134 |
| Saves | 0.96 | #807 / 1215 | #83 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.84 | #561 / 1215 | #47 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (25 → ~39 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (112 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9501 | 14822 | 14608 | 14608 | 14499 – 14717 |
| Goals | 32 | 50 | 48 | 48 | 42 – 54 |
| Assists | 11 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 13 – 21 |
| Saves | 24 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 32 – 44 |
| Shots | 84 | 131 | 128 | 126 | 117 – 138 |
| Demos | 21 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 27 – 38 |
| MVPs | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 – 8 |
From 25 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 339.8 |
| Avg boost | 50.9 |
| Boost stolen / game | 440.0 |
| % time at 0 boost | 11.0% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1457.5 |
| % supersonic | 9.9% |
| % time high in air | 3.0% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3219.4 |
| % time attacking third | 19.9% |
| Demos / game | 0.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.6 |
| Shooting % | 38.5% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S23 | Prospect | 44 | 0.82 | 0.48 | 1.46 | 304 |
| S24 | Challenger | 30 | 0.8 | 0.47 | 1.13 | 288 |
| S25 | Prospect | 38 | 0.63 | 0.29 | 1.1 | 308 |
| S26 | Contender | 25 | 1.28 | 0.44 | 0.96 | 340 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.28 | 1.25 | 1.14 – 1.33 |
| Assists/game | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.43 – 0.52 |
| Saves/game | 0.96 | 1.07 | 1.0 – 1.17 |
| Shots/game | 3.36 | 3.07 | 3.0 – 3.3 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GeneralLeigh91 | S25 | Amateur | 1.29 | 0.39 | 1.02 | 0.89 |
| rinny_b0y | S19 | Amateur | 1.33 | 0.54 | 0.93 | 0.99 |
| Riddle | S14 | Rival | 1.33 | 0.5 | 1.08 | 1.17 |
| DumplingsAreGod | S25 | Prospect | 1.3 | 0.62 | 1.2 | 1.25 |
| Butlight_guy | S19 | Challenger | 1.36 | 0.46 | 1.36 | 1.29 |
| NJ111_ | S20 | Rival | 1.25 | 0.55 | 1.15 | 1.30 |
| TTV Ravenshunter | S22 | Veteran | 1.16 | 0.37 | 1.21 | 1.31 |
| Alfredo | S23 | Amateur | 1.31 | 0.47 | 1.16 | 1.33 |
| zerajule | S24 | Challenger | 1.06 | 0.51 | 1.02 | 1.33 |
| Prezmo_ | S20 | Challenger | 1.21 | 0.47 | 0.95 | 1.36 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.