Lil Windex

Elite - Black Widows - 14-22 (0.389)
78 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 36 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 78/100 Tier dominance: 40th (-0.3 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
6% of games
Shot %
24%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 329.28 11854
26th
Goals 0.72 26
40th
Assists 0.33 12
6th
Saves 1.36 49
44th
Shots 2.97 107
79th
Demos 1.33 48
74th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points329.28 #589 / 1215 #95 / 179
Goals0.72 #521 / 1215 #76 / 179
Assists0.33 #813 / 1215 #117 / 179
Saves1.36 #403 / 1215 #72 / 179
Demos1.33 #203 / 1215 #31 / 179

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (36 → ~64 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (188 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11854 21074 21203 21203 21044 – 21361
Goals 26 46 46 47 39 – 54
Assists 12 21 23 23 17 – 28
Saves 49 87 87 87 77 – 97
Shots 107 190 188 191 173 – 203
Demos 48 85 84 88 74 – 94
MVPs 2 4 4 4 2 – 6

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 57 /100

From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 470.6
Avg boost 49.9
Boost stolen / game 708.5
% time at 0 boost 11.7%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1630.5
% supersonic 20.9%
% time high in air 5.7%
Avg distance to ball 3073.0
% time attacking third 21.3%
Demos / game 1.3
Demos taken / game 1.2
Shooting % 21.6%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Elite4 1.250.51.5 410
S21Elite16 0.620.811.44 456
S22Elite16 0.310.751.5 450
S23Elite62 0.820.761.47 474
S24Elite43 0.840.491.37 480
S25Elite51 0.960.411.0 465
S26Elite32 0.620.311.34 471

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~84 OVR High confidence — inferred from 2661 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 78.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)100654038-3954 51% 423
RSC (official)6224-26 48% 371
Non-RSC ranked 3v32661984-1015 49% 360
Non-RSC other73423030-2913 51% 446

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.62 0.72 0.62 – 0.81
Assists/game0.31 0.38 0.33 – 0.44
Saves/game1.34 1.43 1.25 – 1.58
Shots/game3.03 2.79 2.66 – 2.98

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Jolt S21Elite 0.750.381.62 1.08
WinterMajorChamp S23Master 0.560.441.11 1.20
Causing . S25Veteran 0.750.251.44 1.23
Talent? S25Elite 0.720.441.11 1.46
ReL Corsa S25Elite 0.730.321.46 1.47
wicked S23Elite 0.550.281.27 1.48
Jolt S25Elite 0.810.521.62 1.48
Kaorix S25Premier 0.690.241.62 1.49
SlimmySlimReaper S24Rival 0.620.51.25 1.49
TheLegendaryChance S25Master 0.70.361.43 1.49

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.