Llamaboy101

Challenger - Metal - 13-9 (0.591)
39 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 22 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 39/100 Tier dominance: 61st (+0.1 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
4% of games
Shot %
25%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 319.23 7023
35th
Goals 0.64 14
32nd
Assists 0.95 21
95th
Saves 0.91 20
8th
Shots 2.55 56
56th
Demos 0.91 20
50th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points319.23 #650 / 1215 #87 / 166
Goals0.64 #644 / 1215 #90 / 166
Assists0.95 #33 / 1215 #7 / 166
Saves0.91 #838 / 1215 #123 / 166
Demos0.91 #509 / 1215 #66 / 166

Season projection

Medium confidence

60% of the season is played (22 → ~37 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (94 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 7023 11811 11900 11900 11790 – 12009
Goals 14 24 24 25 19 – 29
Assists 21 35 34 33 28 – 39
Saves 20 34 35 36 29 – 41
Shots 56 94 94 94 84 – 104
Demos 20 34 34 35 28 – 40
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 4

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 29 /100

From 22 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 362.5
Avg boost 48.1
Boost stolen / game 500.8
% time at 0 boost 9.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1550.5
% supersonic 14.6%
% time high in air 2.1%
Avg distance to ball 3170.6
% time attacking third 21.7%
Demos / game 0.9
Demos taken / game 0.9
Shooting % 23.9%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Veteran6 0.170.170.67 347
S21Veteran1 0.00.00.0 340
S22Rival14 0.860.931.07 320
S23Rival8 0.380.751.38 322
S24Rival24 0.790.541.38 332
S25Challenger48 0.920.521.31 360
S26Challenger22 0.640.960.91 362

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~58 OVR High confidence — inferred from 355 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 39.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)42161654-1757 48% 344
RSC (official)5118-27 40% 307
Non-RSC ranked 3v3355119-162 42% 318
Non-RSC other38101517-1568 49% 347

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.64 0.66 0.61 – 0.74
Assists/game0.95 0.83 0.78 – 0.9
Saves/game0.91 1.07 0.96 – 1.12
Shots/game2.54 2.42 2.27 – 2.56

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
BraveNewWrld S13Veteran 0.670.830.75 1.02
ayylo S24Premier 0.610.870.96 1.12
cjAstr0- S23Rival 0.610.760.9 1.31
Kenobs S24Master 0.650.781.08 1.31
z2kay S17Rival 0.881.01.0 1.40
EthanAll01 S25Veteran 0.560.940.89 1.42
Capn' Clutch S21Elite 0.751.121.12 1.43
PoiisonDeath S23Veteran 0.50.90.85 1.45
Swax S23Master 0.740.781.17 1.46
KSUWILDCATS249 S23Veteran 0.670.891.11 1.47

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.