Lorak

Challenger - Spearmint - 13-13 (0.500)
41 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 26 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 41/100 Tier dominance: 73rd (+0.5 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Anchor / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
15% of games
Shot %
38%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 405.42 10541
88th
Goals 0.96 25
76th
Assists 0.54 14
53rd
Saves 2.08 54
99th
Shots 2.54 66
55th
Demos 1.81 47
95th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points405.42 #104 / 1215 #16 / 166
Goals0.96 #197 / 1215 #32 / 166
Assists0.54 #462 / 1215 #63 / 166
Saves2.08 #18 / 1215 #1 / 166
Demos1.81 #69 / 1215 #7 / 166

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (26 → ~43 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (216 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 10541 17433 17177 17177 17049 – 17305
Goals 25 41 41 40 34 – 47
Assists 14 23 23 23 18 – 28
Saves 54 89 86 87 77 – 95
Shots 66 109 109 108 99 – 119
Demos 47 78 74 76 66 – 83
MVPs 4 7 7 7 4 – 9

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 91 /100

From 22 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 361.5
Avg boost 46.9
Boost stolen / game 518.7
% time at 0 boost 8.2%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1491.6
% supersonic 11.8%
% time high in air 3.1%
Avg distance to ball 3193.8
% time attacking third 18.6%
Demos / game 1.7
Demos taken / game 0.7
Shooting % 35.8%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Challenger18 0.560.781.11 356
S21Challenger6 1.670.331.0 346
S22Challenger21 0.670.481.48 346
S23Challenger60 0.630.521.5 345
S24Challenger60 0.780.321.63 368
S25Challenger57 0.740.371.74 353
S26Challenger22 0.960.552.27 362

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~56 OVR High confidence — inferred from 1551 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 41.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)138545591-5375 51% 354
RSC (official)4115-15 50% 383
Non-RSC ranked 3v31551514-635 45% 315
Non-RSC other122625062-4725 52% 359

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.95 0.83 0.75 – 1.0
Assists/game0.55 0.5 0.42 – 0.56
Saves/game2.27 2.0 1.88 – 2.11
Shots/game2.64 2.53 2.4 – 2.75

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Kaeso Clarus S21Veteran 0.920.382.08 1.18
13o0k S21Rival 1.00.552.0 1.24
jknop2 S21Veteran 1.070.42.0 1.40
Dr. Cereal S18Veteran 0.750.52.12 1.53
Rock_Sause S19Veteran 0.750.52.5 1.57
mr_marino_ S25Veteran 0.710.472.14 1.63
Pana S14Elite 0.780.332.11 1.64
Raw Mushrooms S25Veteran 0.830.561.94 1.67
Jhammy. S25Veteran 0.810.561.95 1.69
Khamul S13Elite 1.00.422.25 1.72

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.