LostRedjordan

Contender - Gallery Guild - 9-7 (0.562)
10 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 16 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 10/100 Tier dominance: 44th (-0.3 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
6% of games
Shot %
23%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 275.88 4414
18th
Goals 0.56 9
25th
Assists 0.56 9
71st
Saves 0.69 11
8th
Shots 2.44 39
61st
Demos 0.56 9
32nd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points275.88 #839 / 1215 #91 / 134
Goals0.56 #744 / 1215 #82 / 134
Assists0.56 #420 / 1215 #31 / 134
Saves0.69 #911 / 1215 #102 / 134
Demos0.56 #775 / 1215 #75 / 134

Season projection

Low confidence

64% of the season is played (16 → ~25 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (37 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 4414 6897 7020 7020 6944 – 7097
Goals 9 14 15 15 11 – 18
Assists 9 14 14 13 11 – 17
Saves 11 17 19 19 14 – 23
Shots 39 61 61 60 54 – 68
Demos 9 14 15 14 11 – 18
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 3

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 12 /100

From 13 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 403.7
Avg boost 49.0
Boost stolen / game 538.5
% time at 0 boost 14.1%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1393.4
% supersonic 8.1%
% time high in air 3.5%
Avg distance to ball 3082.4
% time attacking third 21.7%
Demos / game 0.7
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 29.2%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Contender37 0.780.381.16 411
S26Contender13 0.460.460.77 404

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.46 0.56 0.5 – 0.71
Assists/game0.46 0.48 0.44 – 0.55
Saves/game0.77 0.85 0.73 – 0.9
Shots/game2.0 2.03 1.88 – 2.25

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
WrecklessJay02 S24Amateur 0.60.560.85 1.08
MeOnDisplay S24Challenger 0.50.50.83 1.25
JeiWoo S25Veteran 0.430.41.0 1.40
PumPum S22Veteran 0.50.50.62 1.41
DrProfessorNoah S17Rival 0.440.560.67 1.42
CBHIPHOP77 S14Amateur 0.670.420.72 1.44
LastDark S13Rival 0.250.380.75 1.44
llToxic_Dripll S18Amateur 0.760.60.76 1.47
fyooze S22Challenger 0.630.40.9 1.49
Rich-Rollin6060 S25Amateur 0.510.590.74 1.56

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.