MrSilent_714

Prospect - Roly Polies - 17-12 (0.586)
28 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 29 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 28/100 Tier dominance: 84th (+0.8 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
10% of games
Shot %
31%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 355.59 10312
66th
Goals 0.93 27
76th
Assists 0.59 17
60th
Saves 1.14 33
41st
Shots 2.97 86
84th
Demos 0.86 25
47th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points355.59 #377 / 1215 #45 / 161
Goals0.93 #222 / 1215 #32 / 161
Assists0.59 #383 / 1215 #52 / 161
Saves1.14 #644 / 1215 #77 / 161
Demos0.86 #540 / 1215 #70 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (29 → ~48 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (8 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 10312 17068 16965 16965 16837 – 17094
Goals 27 45 44 44 37 – 50
Assists 17 28 28 26 23 – 33
Saves 33 55 55 57 48 – 62
Shots 86 142 140 136 128 – 152
Demos 25 41 42 46 35 – 48
MVPs 3 5 5 5 3 – 7

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 55 /100

From 29 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 394.9
Avg boost 49.4
Boost stolen / game 593.9
% time at 0 boost 13.0%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1476.4
% supersonic 11.3%
% time high in air 4.2%
Avg distance to ball 3051.1
% time attacking third 26.1%
Demos / game 0.9
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 30.2%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Rival8 0.750.121.5 402
S21Rival6 0.670.671.0 410
S26Prospect29 0.930.591.14 395

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.93 0.92 0.86 – 1.0
Assists/game0.59 0.58 0.53 – 0.64
Saves/game1.14 1.11 1.05 – 1.22
Shots/game2.97 2.92 2.8 – 3.02

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
YtExplixiit S23Rival 1.00.661.09 0.75
Hyper S23Rival 0.920.611.12 0.79
Ruthle S20Challenger 1.00.581.17 0.81
lurx bad at rl S24Rival 0.960.681.11 0.91
Baltostorm S24Challenger 0.780.531.22 1.08
Geherpaderp S19Master 0.880.751.12 1.09
Rex S23Veteran 1.020.561.0 1.18
xmanyaknow S23Rival 0.870.720.85 1.29
bovi S18Veteran 1.120.561.06 1.30
S3 UniQ S24Rival 0.860.531.05 1.31

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.