Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 349.46 | 8387 |
|
| Goals | 0.92 | 22 |
|
| Assists | 0.5 | 12 |
|
| Saves | 1.04 | 25 |
|
| Shots | 2.58 | 62 |
|
| Demos | 0.25 | 6 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 349.46 | #420 / 1213 | #30 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.92 | #250 / 1213 | #29 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.5 | #509 / 1213 | #45 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.04 | #706 / 1213 | #67 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.25 | #906 / 1213 | #105 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (24 → ~37 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (42 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8387 | 12930 | 12822 | 12822 | 12721 – 12923 |
| Goals | 22 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 28 – 38 |
| Assists | 12 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 15 – 22 |
| Saves | 25 | 39 | 39 | 40 | 33 – 45 |
| Shots | 62 | 96 | 95 | 93 | 86 – 103 |
| Demos | 6 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 8 – 15 |
| MVPs | 7 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8 – 13 |
From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 255.7 |
| Avg boost | 59.5 |
| Boost stolen / game | 345.4 |
| % time at 0 boost | 4.8% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1394.2 |
| % supersonic | 5.9% |
| % time high in air | 2.4% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2988.1 |
| % time attacking third | 21.3% |
| Demos / game | 0.2 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.8 |
| Shooting % | 33.9% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Contender | 42 | 0.48 | 0.4 | 1.43 | 255 |
| S26 | Contender | 24 | 0.92 | 0.5 | 1.04 | 256 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.92 | 0.9 | 0.83 – 0.97 |
| Assists/game | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.42 – 0.58 |
| Saves/game | 1.04 | 1.05 | 0.97 – 1.15 |
| Shots/game | 2.58 | 2.55 | 2.38 – 2.7 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calicat01 | S24 | Rival | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.97 | 0.96 |
| Gambit | S24 | Prospect | 0.96 | 0.49 | 1.08 | 0.98 |
| Slowlow | S14 | Amateur | 0.87 | 0.49 | 1.14 | 1.04 |
| VickyViksta | S25 | Challenger | 0.76 | 0.51 | 1.1 | 1.07 |
| pinkpepper13 | S18 | Challenger | 0.67 | 0.5 | 1.08 | 1.12 |
| Redline | S23 | Challenger | 0.86 | 0.67 | 0.98 | 1.15 |
| Slygo21 | S23 | Rival | 0.98 | 0.47 | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Fox_gt_400 | S23 | Challenger | 0.84 | 0.65 | 0.86 | 1.28 |
| Kush_the_Ninja | S13 | Contender | 0.82 | 0.64 | 1.0 | 1.29 |
| stealthman777 | S13 | Rival | 1.12 | 0.5 | 0.75 | 1.29 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.