Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 424.5 | 11886 |
|
| Goals | 1.18 | 33 |
|
| Assists | 0.46 | 13 |
|
| Saves | 1.5 | 42 |
|
| Shots | 2.96 | 83 |
|
| Demos | 0.5 | 14 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 424.5 | #59 / 1213 | #5 / 134 |
| Goals | 1.18 | #60 / 1213 | #8 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.46 | #609 / 1213 | #58 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.5 | #241 / 1213 | #15 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.5 | #797 / 1213 | #84 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (28 → ~44 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (77 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 11886 | 18678 | 18293 | 18293 | 18170 – 18416 |
| Goals | 33 | 52 | 50 | 49 | 44 – 57 |
| Assists | 13 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 16 – 25 |
| Saves | 42 | 66 | 65 | 64 | 57 – 72 |
| Shots | 83 | 130 | 128 | 127 | 118 – 138 |
| Demos | 14 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 19 – 28 |
| MVPs | 10 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 12 – 18 |
From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 403.1 |
| Avg boost | 47.7 |
| Boost stolen / game | 518.9 |
| % time at 0 boost | 14.6% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1493.1 |
| % supersonic | 12.1% |
| % time high in air | 4.8% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2997.5 |
| % time attacking third | 22.9% |
| Demos / game | 0.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.5 |
| Shooting % | 37.5% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S24 | Prospect | 47 | 0.83 | 0.68 | 1.19 | 388 |
| S25 | Prospect | 30 | 0.43 | 0.47 | 1.1 | 365 |
| S26 | Contender | 28 | 1.18 | 0.46 | 1.5 | 403 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.18 | 1.1 | 1.04 – 1.21 |
| Assists/game | 0.46 | 0.52 | 0.43 – 0.58 |
| Saves/game | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.33 – 1.5 |
| Shots/game | 2.96 | 2.88 | 2.73 – 3.13 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mr_marino_ | S21 | Rival | 1.08 | 0.52 | 1.4 | 1.00 |
| Rmuru- | S22 | Challenger | 1.19 | 0.62 | 1.62 | 1.10 |
| C01E01 | S22 | Veteran | 1.1 | 0.59 | 1.58 | 1.11 |
| Napkhan | S25 | Challenger | 1.3 | 0.41 | 1.66 | 1.15 |
| Snipe | S23 | Veteran | 1.04 | 0.52 | 1.48 | 1.21 |
| BrdTrd999 | S25 | Contender | 1.14 | 0.62 | 1.31 | 1.21 |
| MissionaryJackk | S14 | Prospect | 1.08 | 0.42 | 1.33 | 1.24 |
| Sin | S18 | Master | 1.12 | 0.38 | 1.25 | 1.24 |
| Mulliganisoup | S23 | Prospect | 0.96 | 0.43 | 1.43 | 1.29 |
| C01E01 | S24 | Elite | 1.02 | 0.58 | 1.44 | 1.30 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.