Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 368.89 | 13280 |
|
| Goals | 0.86 | 31 |
|
| Assists | 0.86 | 31 |
|
| Saves | 1.11 | 40 |
|
| Shots | 3.56 | 128 |
|
| Demos | 0.92 | 33 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Elite |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 368.89 | #285 / 1215 | #53 / 179 |
| Goals | 0.86 | #301 / 1215 | #42 / 179 |
| Assists | 0.86 | #60 / 1215 | #11 / 179 |
| Saves | 1.11 | #671 / 1215 | #102 / 179 |
| Demos | 0.92 | #498 / 1215 | #75 / 179 |
56% of the season is played (36 → ~64 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (100 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 13280 | 23609 | 23536 | 23536 | 23370 – 23702 |
| Goals | 31 | 55 | 55 | 57 | 47 – 63 |
| Assists | 31 | 55 | 54 | 54 | 46 – 62 |
| Saves | 40 | 71 | 73 | 74 | 63 – 82 |
| Shots | 128 | 228 | 223 | 224 | 207 – 238 |
| Demos | 33 | 59 | 59 | 56 | 51 – 68 |
| MVPs | 5 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 – 12 |
From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 410.7 |
| Avg boost | 48.7 |
| Boost stolen / game | 638.2 |
| % time at 0 boost | 11.6% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1552.0 |
| % supersonic | 15.3% |
| % time high in air | 5.7% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3260.2 |
| % time attacking third | 22.7% |
| Demos / game | 1.0 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.4 |
| Shooting % | 24.5% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S24 | Veteran | 56 | 0.91 | 0.68 | 1.38 | 378 |
| S25 | Veteran | 44 | 1.32 | 0.61 | 1.57 | 416 |
| S26 | Elite | 32 | 0.84 | 0.88 | 1.0 | 411 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.84 | 0.88 | 0.83 – 1.0 |
| Assists/game | 0.88 | 0.79 | 0.73 – 0.83 |
| Saves/game | 1.0 | 1.11 | 1.0 – 1.2 |
| Shots/game | 3.34 | 3.12 | 2.98 – 3.25 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smyte. | S26 | Veteran | 0.75 | 0.79 | 1.12 | 0.93 |
| Queue | S24 | Challenger | 0.82 | 0.87 | 0.93 | 1.06 |
| Kylau | S20 | Premier | 1.0 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| snugcore | S23 | Elite | 0.83 | 0.7 | 1.11 | 1.15 |
| Pillow | S26 | Master | 0.78 | 0.87 | 1.04 | 1.17 |
| GreenSleeves | S18 | Premier | 0.88 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.18 |
| GAVALANCHE | S18 | Master | 0.88 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.29 |
| AvgJoeyB- | S20 | Master | 0.92 | 0.83 | 0.92 | 1.30 |
| Lyle | S23 | Elite | 0.87 | 0.73 | 1.12 | 1.32 |
| kRs^^ | S20 | Elite | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.33 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.